Stocks Gain
The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ recorded weekly gains, bouncing back from negative results the previous two weeks. The S&P 500 finished just four points shy of a record high that it set three weeks earlier; the NASDAQ and the Dow were around a percentage point below their all-time peaks.
Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index report extended a recent trend of slightly hotter-than-expected inflation. Core inflation, excluding volatile energy and food prices, rose at an annual rate of 3.3% in January. That result was above economists’ consensus forecast and slightly above the previous month’s annual figure.
U.S. consumers trimmed their spending more than expected after the holiday shopping season. In January, retail sales fell 0.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis compared with the previous month. The result was well below most economists’ expectations and marked the biggest monthly decline in a year.
With earnings season nearing an end, profits continued to exceed expectations. As of Friday, analysts expected fourth-quarter net income to rise 16.9% compared with the same quarter a year earlier, based on the three-quarters of S&P 500 companies that had reported results and forecasts for companies that hadn't yet posted results. Before earnings season, analysts had expected growth of 11.8%.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in congressional testimony that Fed policymakers need to see more progress in curbing inflation before considering further interest-rate cuts. Powell declined to specify the inflation rate that might trigger the Fed to approve a further cut in its benchmark rate, which has remained in a range of 4.25% to 4.50% since the last cut in December.
The United Kingdom’s economy eked out a 0.1% GDP growth rate at the end of 2024, exceeding economists’ expectations after stagnating in the previous quarter with a 0.0% reading. Thursday’s report on fourth-quarter GDP came a week after the Bank of England cut its benchmark interest rate.
Source: John Hancock Investment Management
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