PDF | Research |Week of Sep 26, 2022

The Lead Left Presents, an exclusive webinar:

"Of Rates and Recessions: What's Ahead for the Economy"

October 19, 2022 | 11 AM - 12 PM EDT | Live Virtual Event

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"Three top economists answer your questions about inflation,

interest rates and the outlook for the US and global economy."

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Quote of the Week

Markets remain convinced that the Fed would continue to

act in a one-way fashion to any sort of inflation surprise.

– John Roe, head of multi asset funds, Legal & General Investment Management.

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Risk vs. Opportunity in

Private Credit




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Private Credit in an Age of Scarcity

(Third of a Series)

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In a world where cash is either being withdrawn systemically through quantitative tightening or selectively by investor caution, capital formation is being challenged.


Public capital utilization is governed by fast cash, so when money flows out of retail funds at the pace it has, it’s a headwind to deal activity. Private capital has long-term, locked-up funds. But in this period of uncertainty, managers are also carefully weighing risk versus opportunity. Does it make sense to wait for more direction from the economy?


The answer lies in the role of the manager in an illiquid asset class. For private equity and credit, portfolio construction is key. As we’ve seen in a prior series [link], the importance of picking the right assets from the start largely determines returns...

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Just Released! The Great Unwind


  • Welcome to the Precession!
  • QT and The Great Unwind
  • The Great Unwind: Easy Money
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Chart of the Week

Hurricane Fed

The Fed’s battle against inflation has roiled all equity and fixed income markets.

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Source: The Daily Shot

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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PDI Picks

Europe ‘resilient in times of volatility’

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The region is facing an array of headwinds but dealflow held up strongly in the first half of the year...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

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Wednesday November 2, 2022 | 8 AM – 5 PM EST | New York Marriott Marquis

Refinitiv LPC’s Annual Fall

Leveraged Loans Conference

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Poll: Direct lenders overwhelmingly

say they stayed busy in 3Q22

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The direct lending market continues to be a popular go-to option at a time when the syndicated loan market has seen lower volumes due to heightened levels of volatility. Refinitiv LPC recently polled US middle market lenders, asking them...

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Contact: David Puchowski / Refinitiv LPC

Refinitiv LPC’s 28th Annual Middle Market, Direct Lending and Large Corporate Loan Conference will be held in-person on November 2, 2022 in New York City! Register here!

The Pulse of Private Equity

Direct lending keeps replenishing

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PitchBook’s latest Private Debt Report is now available. Direct lending is “the standout strategy” among private lenders, now accounting for more than a third of all capital raised in the private debt market. The ratio was actually higher last year, 46.5%...

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Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

Covenant Trends 

Average Free-and-Clear as a

Multiple of Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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Private Debt Intelligence

More APAC investors commit to PD,

highest increase in ASEAN

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Tighter bank lending conditions are leading to increased demand for capital from companies, allowing APAC’s nascent private debt market to expand. APAC-based private debt AUM stands at $78bn as of December 2021 and has grown at an average rate of 29% over the past five years, faster than the global figure of 17% over...

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Contact: Valerie Kor / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Source: Cliffwater Direct Lending Index and BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield

Download Data

Contact: Hema Oza/ Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.