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PDF | Research | Week of Nov 18 2024

Quote of the Week

“The priority in today’s market is to demonstrate to LPs that your firm is a responsible steward of capital with a disciplined unemotional plan for generating returns and distributing capital on time.”

– Bain, Private Equity MidYear Report, 2024.

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Final Call: 2024 Private Debt Survey


Institutional investors, RIAs, and financial advisors: We want to hear from you! We invite you to share your views on private debt and today’s environment by completing a brief 2-minute survey. We look forward to sharing the results with you in an upcoming Lead Left issue.

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Private Equity Now: The Distribution Dilemma

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Private Equity Now – Impact on Fundraising

(GP Perspective)

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So far in our “Private Equity Now” series we’ve covered the various technologies available to LPs and GPs to access liquidity in this difficult environment. This week we focus on fundraising to understand how GPs are navigating with investors pining for distributions. 


Indeed, private equity fund managers are facing a landscape unlike any we’ve experienced in recent years. According to Pitchbook, the median time to close a fund is now nearly 17 months, as of September 30. That is up from 14 months in 2023 and 11 months in 2022. Those timelines extend even further for less experienced or first-time managers. 


The slow return of capital has created an imbalance between the amount raised and the supply available from investors. This imbalance is an opening to stand out in a competitive market...


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Chart of the Week

No Money-Back Guarantee

The absence of realizations has hampered distributions to LPs.  

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Source: Burgiss/MSCI


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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PDI Picks

Hard-won gains can be retained

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Read PDI's Report: LP Perspectives 2024 report


Respondents to a PDI survey believe that private debt will not easily give up the share it has won at the larger end of the market. 

In 2022 and 2023, as talk of private debt being in a so-called ‘golden era’ grew louder, one of the main reasons was the way in which it had achieved territorial gains at the larger end of the market – promoting itself as an alternative source of finance (and sometimes as the only game in town) at a time when the broadly syndicated market had effectively pulled up the shutters...

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Contact: Andy Thomson / Private Debt Investor

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

A flurry of new leveraged loans hit the market post elections and in run up to year end

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After a brief pullback in the institutional calendar in the week leading up to the US election, lenders have tapped the market with a flurry of deals...

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Contact: Maria Dikeos / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

Healthcare services PE deal count by quarter

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Within healthcare services, some of the areas that continue to see the highest levels of sponsor demand and interest, including medspa and outpatient mental health, also have a scarcity of platform-scale assets...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Privately Monitored Middle Market Portfolio Overview − 3Q24 (Part 3)

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Download Report


In the charts above, Fitch presents aggregate data for Middle Market companies that it privately rates on a monitored basis for asset managers, defined as:

·      in the area of $500 million of debt; or

·      $100 million of EBITDA or below.



The quarterly downgrade-upgrade ratio for the PMR portfolio fell to its lowest level since 2Q22...


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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of Loans with Asset Sale

Sweep Step-downs

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Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

Download Data

Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

Under pressure: leveraged loan defaults are spiking

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Annual loan defaults are soaring, with this year’s rate of 4.7% surpassing 4.5% seen during the economic slowdown in 2020 triggered by the advent of the pandemic. It also marks the highest default rate since the global financial crisis, when defaults peaked at 10.5%...

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Contact: Jayjeet Sharma/ Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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Private equity deal value rises above

five-year average

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Read more in Preqin’s ‘Deal Flow Monitor: Q3 2024’


Private equity deal value in North America increased to $98.7bn in Q3 2023, exceeding the five-year average of $84bn, and accounting for 40.8% of all private capital deals in the region...


Read More & Download Data

Contact: William Bennett-LynchPreqin

November Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.