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PDF | Research | Week of Nov 4 2024

Quote of the Week

“Now you can say, ‘OK, the Eagle has landed.’”

– David Kelly, chief global strategist, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, on a soft landing.

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2024 Private Debt Survey


Institutional investors, RIAs, and financial advisors: We want to hear from you! We invite you to share your views on private debt and today’s environment by completing a brief 2-minute survey. We look forward to sharing the results with you in an upcoming Lead Left issue.

Take survey

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Private Equity Now: The GP Perspective

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Challenging financing conditions and macroeconomic disruptions have ushered in a period of lackluster M&A activity the last few years. Sellers are reluctant to realize investments at what are perceived to be depressed valuation multiples. Buyers meanwhile are wary of overpaying and unwilling to meet sellers at multiples of a bygone era. The resulting valuation gap has contributed to a reduction in exits for GPs and thus reduced distributions – the lifeblood of private equity. 


In a fundraising context, reduced distributions restrict the capital LPs can re-invest in PE, an otherwise self-funding asset class for the better part of the last decade. This challenging dynamic of scarce LP capital is driving a multitude of adverse knock-on effects for GPs. These include smaller LP check sizes, extended fundraising timelines, and enhanced LP negotiating power on pricing and terms...


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Chart of the Week

On Holds

In the absence of M&A activity, PE portfolio companies are held for extended periods. 

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Source: PitchBook


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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PDI Picks

Hard-won gains can be retained

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Read PDI's Report: LP Perspectives 2024 report


Respondents to a PDI survey believe that private debt will not easily give up the share it has won at the larger end of the market. 

In 2022 and 2023, as talk of private debt being in a so-called ‘golden era’ grew louder, one of the main reasons was the way in which it had achieved territorial gains at the larger end of the market – promoting itself as an alternative source of finance (and sometimes as the only game in town) at a time when the broadly syndicated market had effectively pulled up the shutters...

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Contact: Andy Thomson / Private Debt Investor

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

October LBO financing conditions show strength, despite mixed pricing outcomes in bifurcated market 

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With more than US$32bn of LBO term loan B issuance successfully placed in 3Q24, LBO financing activity has emerged similarly strong in 4Q24...

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Contact: Chris Piccirillo / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

Platform LBO and growth equity deals as a share of all PE deals

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In Q1 2023, growth equity deal count overtook platform LBO deal count for the first time ever, and that trend has persisted since...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Privately Monitored Middle Market Portfolio Overview − 3Q24 (Part 1)

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In the charts above, Fitch presents aggregate data for Middle Market companies that it privately rates on a monitored basis for asset managers, defined as:

·      in the area of $500 million of debt; or

·      $100 million of EBITDA or below...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Average EBITDA Adjustment Cap

for Synergies & Cost Savings

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Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

Industrial strength: surging volumes and falling costs signal robust 2024 | DebtDynamics North America

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Volumes in the industrials, agriculture, and chemicals sectors have seen a significant surge in the year to date (YTD) compared with 2023, driven by rising industrial demand and falling raw materials costs. Despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and China, the sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory...

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Contact: Jayjeet Sharma, Melina Chalkia/ Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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Investor appetite for private debt funds

 continues to grows

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Read more in: Private Debt Q3 2024: Preqin Quarterly Update


Private debt fundraising value is on the recovery path this year. The $50.5bn raised in the third quarter of 2024 is the highest quarter so far this year, and more than double the $24.3bn raised in Q1...

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Contact: William Bennett-LynchPreqin

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.