What’s Driving the Recent Buy-Side Enthusiasm in Chicago?
Rents Rising
After lagging the Sun Belt during COVID, Chicago rents have posted +5–7% annual gains since 2022 and limited new supply points to continued growth through this cycle. Many long-time investors haven’t seen a rental market like this in Chicago, ever.
Interest Rates
With the Fed signaling an end to rate hikes, buyers believe we’ve likely seen the top in rates and the bottom in values. If rates tick down, even modestly, and the rent growth continues I’d expect a buying frenzy and values blowing thru all time highs.
Local Policy Restricting Supply
Misguided intervention in the housing market w/ ordinances and proposed legislation (NW Preservation Ordinance, HB3564, rent control etc) are curbing future supply and supporting the value of existing assets.
Bottom Line
Chicago’s multifamily market is gaining momentum:
- Rents are rising
- Rates have likely peaked
- Policy is restrictive
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