First thing is first; we have a very active weather day ahead with everything from favorable conditions for spreading fires this afternoon to severe storms later in the day. This is all part of a potent storm system that will move through the area over the course of the next 24 hours. Time to be weather aware!
Starting out the day, we’ll have winds increase tremendously from the south. Expect to see wind gusts top 40 mph this afternoon for just about everywhere across the state and even some surpassing 50. Make sure to have any loose objects secured! The breezy winds will usher a much warmer air mass into the region with highs topping out in the upper 70s to low 80s! Normal high temperatures for this time of year run in the low to middle 60s. While I think we’ll all welcome some warm temperatures, the high winds combined with low relative humidity across the eastern half of the state creates a VERY favorable environment for the rapid spread of fires. Bottom line…..DO NOT BURN TODAY.
A strong line of showers and storms will start moving into Western Kentucky late this afternoon/early evening ahead of a cold front, eventually pushing into Central and Eastern Kentucky after sunset and into the overnight. While the highest probabilities of severe weather will be to our south (centered across Mississippi), Kentucky could see some damaging winds (highest risk) and a few tornadoes. Below is a look at the current convective outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. Western KY carries the highest risk for severe weather today (enhanced risk), while a slight risk of severe weather extends to just west of the I-75 corridor. If you have friends or family down and around Mississippi, give them a call and make sure their up to speed. Conditions really don’t look good down that way with strong tornadoes and 70+ mph damaging winds on the table.