Residential Sales Summary
February 2022
 

Total Residential Sales: Despite the extreme lack of inventory, we are still seeing a relatively normal number of sales this winter. Residences that come on the market, are mostly selling fast. 75 residences sold in February, which is about 9% below the 5 year average (82 sales) for the month and just slightly below the 10-year average (77). The YTD numbers (159 sales) are similar in trailing the 5-year average, but in line with the 10-year average.
 
While the number of transactions isn’t particularly interesting, the sales prices are quite intriguing. Thirty-three of the sales so far this year (just over 20%) have been over $2 million, including 11 sales over $5 million, 7 over $10 million, and 1 over $20 million. For comparison, for the entire year of 2017, just 6% of sales were over $2 million, only 23 sales were over $5 million and just 2 were over $10 million.
 
Median and Average Sales Prices:   It’s a small sample size, but so far this year, the median residential sales price is $1,085,000 and the average is $1,927,057. For single-family homes only, the median is $1,212,500 and the average is $2,314,415.

 
Active Residential Inventory
 
Active Listings: We are down to 78 residences actively for sale (56 single-family homes and 22 condos). Last year, at this time, there were about 135 residences for sale and THAT seemed incredibly low.  If you are looking to sell, there has literally never been less competition!
 
How did inventory get so low? The biggest factor has been incredibly strong demand. Buyers have been whacking away at the inventory at a record pace since May of 2020. The supply side has also contributed. We are now at 10 consecutive months of the number of new listings being below the 5 and 10-year averages for that month. The 96 new listings in February marks the second lowest February total in 10 years and is 13% lower than the 5-year average and 19% below the 10 year average for the month. Overall, the number of new listings during the last 10 months is the lowest for that period in 10 years, 22% lower than the 5 year average for the period and 20% lower than the 10-year average. 


Current Pending Sales:  There are currently 123 residences in contract (up from 110 last month). About 75 residences went into contract in February (down from 80 in January).
 
Current inventory represents 1 month of supply relative to January activity.
 
Sales Under $500,000:  In the first 2 months of the year there were 11 residential sales under $500k, representing 6% of total sales. In the same period in 2021, 12% of sales were in this range. 
 
Mid-Range Market Sales $500,000 to $999,999:  Year to date, 63 residences sold between $500,000 and $999,999, representing 40% of total sales.  For the same period in 2021, 44% of sales were in this price range.
 
High End Home Sales $1,000,000 to $1,999,999: 52 residences have sold between $1m - $2m, representing 33% of total sales. For the same period in 2021, 54 homes sold in this price range, representing 25% of total sales.
 
Luxury Home Sales Over $2 Million:   33 residences have sold over $2 million, representing 21% of sales.  11 of those sales were over $5 million, including 7 over $10m and one at $23.65 million. For the same period in 2021, 35 homes sold over $2 million, representing 17% of sales. 8 of those sales were over $5 million including 1 over $10 million.
What’s Going On Looking Forward?
 
Thank goodness for the big week of snowfall we saw in December. Other than that period, the winter has been quite dry. That said, there’s still a great base of snow for skiing and abundant sunshine to be enjoyed.
 
As far as the future of the real estate market . . .
 
Placer County has announced significant changes to its short-term rental permit model, which will go into place after March 31. The new model includes a cap of 3,900 permits and requires some property owners, who used to be exempt, to apply for permits going forward. Truckee is in the process of developing regulations that will cap the number of permits at 1,255, require a 1-year waiting period for new owners to apply, and will phase out short-term rentals in multi-family housing and accessory dwelling units. If you own a short-term rental up here, definitely reach out so we can connect you to the right information to continue operating your rental! The Town of Truckee is still under its short term rental moratorium, but we are starting to get clarity on what the new program will look like going forward. For more information on both programs, see links below.
 
The shortage of inventory, and lack of new supply, is still the dominant headline in the market. The supply side will truly determine what 2022 looks like. There are also significant variables like the Russia-Ukraine War, short-term rental regulations, covid, inflation, interest rates, and mother nature (snow, fires, etc), that are going to have an impact on activity.  Our expectation is that supply (new listings and inventory) will remain low through the winter. If that holds true, the trend toward smaller numbers of transactions will continue. In December, we thought pricing might hold steady this winter. However, we have seen a surge in demand in the last couple of weeks which, when accompanied by the tight supply, points to the potential for another surge in pricing. For the last month, 2 to 5 offers have been a common story on many new listings and we are seeing winning offers reach a surprisingly high level, which is going to impact pricing on upcoming listings as we move into Spring. Stay tuned for our upcoming update as we start to see these recent sales close escrow.
Note: Data on this page is based on information from the Tahoe Sierra Board of Realtors, MLS. Due to MLS reporting methods and allowable reporting policy, this data is only informational and may not be completely accurate. Therefore, Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage does not guarantee the data's accuracy. Data maintained by the MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. CA-BRE License # 1908304
Local News & Events
Short Term Rentals
Placer County: Placer County has announced significant changes to its short-term rental permit model which will go into place after March 31. The new model includes a cap of 3,900 permits and requires some property owners, who used to be exempt, to apply for permits going forward. If you own a short-term rental in Placer County, definitely reach out to us so can we can connect you to the right information to continue operating your rental!

Town of Truckee: The Town of Truckee Short Term rental moratorium is still in place, however, the framework for the upcoming changes is starting to come together.
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