504 Rates Inch Higher on Cautious and Troubled Bond Market

NADCO, the trade association for the nation's Certified Development Companies (CDCs), has released the SBA 504 fixed interest rates for August 2026. Eagle Compliance, the Fiscal Agent for the SBA 504 Loan Program, responsible for the marketing, pricing, and selling of the debentures sold to investors to fund the SBA 504 Loan Program, stated that August saw SBA interest rates inch higher due to a cautious and troubled bond market as well as Fed dissent over rates.


According to Eagle Compliance, a week before the SBA bond sales:


A “Good Family Fight”


Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh uses that phrase frequently when asked how he enjoys policy discussions to unfold, and in his second FOMC meeting as Chairman, he is getting what he asked for. Three Federal Reserve Bank presidents dissented on the 9-3 decision to hold rates steady at last week’s meeting, marking the first time since 2016 that three voters dissented for the same action. Two of those voters had supported a rate increase in June, but the third, Neal Kashkari, President of the Minneapolis Fed, had previously supported a rate cut as recently as March to support a jobs market that was weakening at the time. With inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target for the last five years, they believe they cannot wait for the impact of tariff increases and the Iranian conflict to be resolved before inflationary pressures ease.


The market now turns to the scheduled September 16 FOMC meeting where it assigns a 67% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. Chainman Warsh, in addition to creating five task forces to review how the Committee analyses data and manages communication, has also suggested that the Committee discuss reducing the number of its meetings from the current total of eight each year to six. The Fed’s governing law requires four meetings a year, and the current schedule of eight has been in effect since 1981. Fewer meetings would conform to his desire to reduce the amount of communication put forth from the Committee and would accomplish one of his objectives.


Like the CPI and PPI reports, last week’s Personal Consumption Expenditures report showed inflation cooling, though the resumption of hostilities is not encouraging for continued gains. Headline PCE improved to -0.1% from 0.4%, and the y/y rate improved to 3.7% from 4.1%, and this is a measure that Chairman Warsh hopes to no longer use by evaluating a trimmed mean deflator for PCE. As measured by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, that rate for June was 2.2%, almost at the Committee’s target rate. Its calculation varies from the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ calculation by removing the most extreme price changes at both the high and low ends of the distribution, then computing a weighted average of the remaining components. If successful in making it the Committee’s preferred inflation gauge, the current reading of 2.2% is a compelling reason not to raise rates. Additional family fights will be interesting as the market has already done some of the work for the Fed, and based on how the Committee measures inflation, it remains to be seen how much more work is needed.


Reports


Other economic reports of interest were:


  • Durable Goods report improved to 0.3% from -4.5% but was below the consensus of 1.7%.
  • Q2 GDP declined to 1.5% from 2.1% and was below its 2.3% consensus.



Rates


The bond markets were unhappy with Chairman Warsh’s Wednesday press conference as it pushed the 10-year yield to 4.74%, 18 bps higher than when the 504 program priced its July debentures. It also widened the spread between short-term and long-term rates, pushing that spread from +36 bps to +44 bps, as measured by the rates of the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries.


Following the bond sales, Eagle Compliance reported:


As we approached the August SBAP sale, the tone in the fixed income markets fell somewhere between cautious and troubled. The conflict in Iran had continued with little sign of meaningful/sustained progress toward resolution. As such, progress that had been made on the inflationary front was likely to be short-lived. The FOMC meeting had concluded last week, and although rates were left unchanged, there were three dissenting votes in favor of raising rates. Chairman Warsh also expressed his desire for fewer FOMC meetings, which, if accepted, would provide market participants with less information. He also remained in favor of changing the FOMC’s preferred inflation measure. These factors taken together made many believe that interest rates moving higher in the future was most likely.


Early last week, since the July SBAP pricing, U.S. Treasuries had increased in yield across the curve. The 10-Yr. UST yield was 4.73%, up 17 bps month over month, and the U.S. Treasury curve had steepened ever so mildly. As measured by the MOVE Index, UST volatility had increased 22.3% from 65.8 to 80.5 month over month. Comparable ACMBS issues had maintained spread levels month over month, but the MBS to UST basis had widened 5 bps, the 30-Year residential mortgage rate had increased 23 bps, and the MBS to UST OAS spread had also widened. With these factors in mind, it was decided that the suggested initial pricing spread on the 20-Year debenture would be +47 bps and for the 25-Year debenture it would be +50 bps, each to the 10-Yr. U.S. Treasury Note; both 2 bps wider than the July pricing. Preliminary guidance about the August debenture offerings suggested $19.1 million of a 20-Year and $503.6 million of a 25-Year. The week’s significant expected economic releases were very light, with the exception of the Non-Farm Payroll report due on Friday (post SBAP pricing), which was expected to improve to 72,000 from 57,000 in June, and the Unemployment Rate was expected to hold steady at 4.2%.


The morning of the SBAP announcement, market conditions displayed signs of improvement. The 10-Yr. UST yield had fallen to 4.64%, and equity markets had regained some upward momentum. Investor response to the SBAP $18.543 million 20-Year was immediate and very positive; for the SBAP $499.169 million 25-Year it was also good. The underwriters received significantly more investor orders on the 20-Year than debentures available; the 25-Year was also oversold, but to a lesser degree. Given the very good reception on the 20-Year, it was decided that its pricing spread could be narrowed by 3 bps. The 20-Year debenture was priced at a spread of +44 bps (lowest since February 2022 and 1 bp less than the July pricing); the 25-Year debenture was priced at a spread of +50 bps (2 bps wider than the July pricing). The August debenture rate for the 20-Year was 5.08%, and for the 25-Year it was 5.14% (7 bps and 10 bps higher, respectively, than the July pricing). The 25-Year rate is 21 bps under the program life average of 5.35%, and the spread over Treasury (+50) was 28 bps below its program life average of T+78.


Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report unexpectedly dropped by 23k in July, marking the weakest pace since February. As mentioned above, payrolls were expected to rise 72k. Additionally, the three-month average declined from 77k to 20k in July, again marking the weakest pace since February. Household employment also dropped 87k in July, which follows a 507k drop in June; the labor force declined as well (down 264k) following June’s 720k plunge. Thus, the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined from 4.2% to 4.1% in July, the lowest level in a year. This data contradicts previous growth trends and is likely to support additional debate between FOMC participants. Early Friday, the news had little effect on the U.S. Treasury market, 10-Yr. note yields were quoted at 4.63%.


Next week will be relatively light from an economic release perspective, though it will also include the Treasury’s refunding of 3-Year, 10-Year, and 30-Year notes and bonds. The CPI will be released on Wednesday, and Thursday brings the PPI, both of which are July reports.

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Despite the recent rising rates, SBA 504 loans continue to be very attractive, as it reduces the down payment on commercial real estate projects to as low as 10% and provide a 20 or 25-year fixed rate for up to 40% of the borrower's financing need.


For more information about the SBA 504 loan program, visit sedacogldc.org.


20-yr Rate:

Standard: 6.28%

Refinance: 6.28%

25-yr Rate:

Standard: 6.28%

Refinance: 6.28%

10-yr Rate:

Standard: 6.21%

Refinance: 6.21%

PIDA Increases Max Loan Amount

Due to recent changes in the fiscal code language that place limits on the maximum loan amount allowed under DCED's PIDA-SBF loan program, the PIDA Board, at its August 5th meeting, approved the following:


  • For eligible real estate loans only - an increase in the lending limit from $400,000 to $1 million. The 50% maximum participation level still applies.


  • For machinery and equipment loans only - the maximum lending limit will remain at $400,000 due to the fund's current liquidity position.


  • Moving forward, PIDA will not charge a 1% commitment fee for any PIDA loan, regardless of the loan amount.


The eligible businesses impacted by these changes include the following:


  • Agricultural Processors
  • Agricultural Producers
  • Industrial Enterprises, not of a service nature
  • Manufacturing Enterprises
  • Research and Development Enterprises
  • Hospitality Enterprises
  • Defense Conversion Enterprises
  • Recycling Enterprises
  • Computer-Related Service Enterprises
  • Construction Enterprises
  • Child Day Care Enterprises


This increase in the amount available for real estate projects is significant, allowing SEDA-COG to have a greater impact on our borrowers.


Click here or reach out to one of our loan officers for more information.

SBA Expands Access to 504 Program

Major Update for SBA 504 Financing – Effective July 4, 2026


The U.S. Small Business Administration has announced a significant change that will expand access to capital for small businesses nationwide - and especially those here in Pennsylvania.


What’s New?


Eligible borrowers will now be able to combine SBA 7(a) and 504 loans for up to $10 million in total financing, doubling the previous combined limit of $5 million.


Why It Matters


This change provides:

  • Greater flexibility to pair long-term fixed-rate financing (504) with working capital (7a).
    
  • Increased access to capital for growth, expansion, and equipment investment.
    
  • New opportunities for capital-intensive industries, including manufacturing, logistics, and construction.


This is one of the most impactful enhancements to SBA financing in recent years - expanding funding capacity to the highest level in the program’s history.


If you’re planning a project or want to understand how this new flexibility could benefit your business or your clients, let’s connect.

Equip Your Team. Elevate Your Lending.

Do you have new members of your commercial lending team?


Are you looking for ways to better compete for deals?


Has it been a while since you partnered with SEDA-COG?


Now is the perfect time to explore fresh ways to support small businesses. Our Economic Development Loan Programs are designed to help you, as a commercial lender, find possibilities for your clients—fueling expansion, job creation, and long-term success.


Connect with SEDA-COG today to schedule an opportunity, whether it's a one-on-one discussion or a presentation to your lending team, to show how these programs can help you and your clients seize new possibilities.

SBA 504 Refinancing

Lenders, are your small business clients worried about rates? Are they coming up on an interest rate re-set on their loan? If so, the SBA 504 loan may provide a solution. The SBA 504 loan can refinance eligible real estate and production equipment debt, including existing SBA 504 and 7a loans. Depending on the amount of equity in the asset(s) securing the loan, a refinancing might also include money for eligible business expenses such as wages and salaries, utilities, inventory, accounts payable, and to reduce or pay off their line of credit balance.


Some of the requirements to refinance existing debt with an SBA 504 loan include:


  • The business must be at least two years old.


  • The debt is at least six months old.


  • Payments have been current for the past six months.


  • At least 75% of the original loan amount had to be used for eligible SBA 504 fixed assets for the business (real estate and/or long-term production equipment), with the remainder for general business purposes.


  • The current appraised value of the asset(s) securing the loan exceeds the amount of debt by at least 10%.



  • The refinancing offers better terms than the existing debt.


Click here for more information on refinancing debt with an SBA 504 loan or contact one of our loan officers.

SBA 504 Loan Calculator

Want to know what the financing for a potential SBA 504 deal would look like? Check out our SBA 504 Loan Calculator, which can be used to estimate the financing and monthly payments for an SBA 504 project.

SEDA-COG Loan Matrix

Looking for a quick guide that outlines the different loans available through SEDA-COG? We have put together a one-page resource that provides eligibility information, use of funds, loan amounts, and much more.

 

You can download the guide here.

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SEDA-COG's Business Finance Program serves the entire state of Pennsylvania for the SBA 504 Program.

 

For PIDA and SEDA-COG loans, we cover an 11-county area in central Pennsylvania, including Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Juniata, Lycoming, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder, and Union counties.


For more information, visit seda-cog.org/business-loans or sedacogldc.org.


Doug Wilburn | Director

570-522-7338

dwilburn@seda-cog.org


John Reichard | Senior Relationship Manager II

570-522-7251

jreichard@seda-cog.org


Brooks Luzier | Relationship Manager

570-754-8554

bluzier@seda-cog.org