|
Bank of Canda -
As expected, a hold for the January 28th BoC rate announcement. Many sources sighting holds throughout 2026, and then possible rate increases at the beginning of 2027.
OSFI-
As mortgage brokers, Thursday’s OSFI Quarterly Release reinforces a familiar theme: protecting the stability of Canada’s financial system remains the top priority. That’s important and necessary.
Tools like the mortgage stress test play a valuable role. A stress test of some kind helps ensure borrowers can handle future rate increases and protects households from taking on more risk than they can reasonably manage. In practice, it has prevented many Canadians from becoming over-leveraged. OSFI started a pilot project in early 2025 where they looked at a loan-to-income qualifier instead. Roughly 4.5x a borrower’s income, while still taking into consideration existing liability payments. OSFI has decided to leave in place the existing B-20 guidelines and current stress test of 5.25% or 2% above contract, whichever is higher.
At the same time, the housing and rate environment has changed since many of the B-20 guidelines were first introduced. Prices have cooled a bit, borrowing costs have reset higher, and many households are now focused on managing upcoming renewals. That shift matters; however, we do not believe the stress-test should be totally abolished.
In our community we see borrowers making careful, informed decisions, not chasing excess. As OSFI continues to refine its frameworks, the opportunity is to ensure existing safeguards remain well calibrated and responsive to today’s conditions. Strong regulation and accessible homeownership don’t have to be at odds. A stress test that evolves with the market can continue to protect borrowers while supporting a stable, functioning housing system. OSFI has not stated whether they will re-look at the pilot project or reconsider changing guidelines in the future.
For more information, contact Tekamar Mortgages 250-832-8766 or info@tekamar.ca
|