Dear Stuart,
Supply in Metro Vancouver reached another 10 year high in May, 45.9% above the 10 year seasonal average while sales were down 30.5% below the 10 year seasonal average. This confirms 2025 is among the slowest starts to the year in the past decade. These stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside detached home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 54% for detached homes, down 27% for apartments and down by 4% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 19% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 52%, and townhomes are up 81%.
We had 48 Westside Detached home sales in May, compared to 51 sales last month.
We had 290 Westside Apartment sales in May, compared to 324 sales last month.
We had 65 Westside Attached home sales in May, compared to 51 sales last month.
In May, the westside Detached Home average price was down 23% from the peak in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was down 18% from the peak in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was down 15% from the peak in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SAL) is a key indicator of market balance and it helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SAL for Westside detached is 6%, attached is 14% and apartments is 14%.
So the most expensive segment, detached homes are selling the slowest and the cheaper apartments and townhomes are selling more actively. This increased townhouse activity is a product of expanding the multi property zoning that is encouraging builders to make more and larger (3 br) townhomes in previously single family areas. Because they are cheaper than detached single family homes young families can sometimes get a foothold in that market.
The Bank of Canada did not reduce interest rates the last two opportunities it had to do that which is not helping to stimulate our real estate markets and we will see if it impedes our economy the next time rates are established July 30th. The expectation is that the bank will cut 2 more times in 2025 bringing the rate down another 50 basis points which should help our market.
While there are emerging signs that sales activity may be turning a corner, global economic uncertainty is still keeping buyers from jumping into the market while more sellers are coming into the market and that continues keep the Sales to Active Listings ratio down which in turn keeps prices down.
Unique and well priced homes are selling and homes under $3M are selling. With the increases in supply there are buying opportunities and if the market turns, buyers will rush in, so now is a good time to buy while we have lots of supply and little competition
June is prime time for a summer rally and strategic pricing will be key to sellers achieving best results.
Thinking of Selling? Let’s Talk!
📞 Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Happy Father's Day!
Best regards
Stuart ⛳ 🎾 🎣
|