By Isanella Patoir
With enormous oil reserves, Guyana stands on the threshold of transformation. Its economy grew more than 60 per cent in 2022 largely because of an influx of oil revenues. But the nation’s rich resources come with promised opportunities and serious risks.
In 2023, the challenge is to ensure those financial resources are put to work improving education and healthcare for Guyana’s people, protecting its environment and diversifying the nation’s overall economy.
CIJN spoke with some of Guyana’s civic leaders who warn it can only be done if the government opens its books to the public and promotes a national dialogue about how this newfound wealth can be put to work.
“The oil curse is in many ways a consequence of oil in the absence of strong regulatory controls, accountability, transparency, disclosure and reporting,” Chartered accountant and attorney-at-law, Christopher Ram said during an interview. Ram has warned about corruption for decades. He continues to advocate for robust oversight mechanisms to manage Guyana’s oil wealth.
Guyana’s population hovers around 800,000 in 2023. That magnifies the effect the country’s oil riches will have on every citizen. It’s simple mathematics.
Lessons From a Neighbor
For a full-blown picture of what the oil curse looks like, Guyana need only to gaze across the border at the economic and social predicament of Venezuela. The nation that once laid claim to being the richest in all of South America is on its knees. Millions of its citizens have fled the country looking for food, healthcare and employment. Approximately 30,000 have come to Guyana.
“If you look at the history of Venezuela,” Frederick Collins offered, “the odds are not in our favour.” Collins is Director of the Transparency Institute of Guyana Inc. (TIGI).
Economist and lecturer at the University of Guyana, Sydney Armstrong is more optimistic. He told CIJN the challenge is in better utilizing Guyana’s oil wealth “to bring about wider developmental opportunities, especially for the vulnerable people, especially for the poor. I think we are…putting in all efforts to ensure that we don’t fall into the natural resource curse.”
An Economy in Overdrive
The International Monetary Fund declared Guyana one of the fastest growing economies in the world. In a September report, the IMF projected Guyana would grow 60% in 2022.
During his presentation of the National Budget for 2023, Minister with responsibility for Finance Dr. Ashni Singh reckoned the economy actually grew by 62.3 per cent in 2022.
He announced a budget amounting to $3.7 billion US dollars ($781.9 Billion Guyana dollars).
Guyana’s earnings from oil and gas are deposited in the country’s National Resource Fund (NRF) which recorded a balance of more than $1.4 Billion USD in March 2023. The government reports thirty per cent (30%) of the 2023 budget will be drawn from the NRF.
At Guyana’s annual Energy Conference, sponsored by the oil industry, Liam Mallon, President of ExxonMobil Upstream Oil and Gas Company was exuberant.
“Think about what’s going on today offshore. We have two state of the art floating production and storage vessels, the Destiny and the Unity producing 380,000 barrels a day with exceptional, exceptional safety and reliability. By the way, that’s 40,000 barrels a day above the design capacity,” Mallon said in his address at the Energy Conference last month.
Read the full story HERE:
https://www.cijn.org/can-guyana-avoid-the-oil-curse/
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