For the past month, we’ve been watching a slow-motion disaster unfold—like a truck skidding out of control toward us. And now, on May 2nd, the moment of impact arrives.
Until now, the 145% tariff on Chinese imports has been largely theoretical. Few have dared to ship anything into such a tariff wall, leaving the industry suspended in uncertainty across the board. Manufacturers, collectors, and sellers alike have put projects on hold, unsure of how to move forward, but otherwise - nothing has changed on the surface.
Starting May 2nd, that uncertainty transforms into something more tangible. Direct-from-the-forge shipments will be hit immediately, mirroring the impact seen on platforms like Temu (click here for an article on how the tariffs are effecting that huge platform). And in many cases, prices will double overnight.
Some sellers are working around this blockade as best they can—shipping swords via seafreight to a U.S. warehouse before distributing them locally. While this workaround exists, it’s far from ideal: lead times stretch by nearly a month, and long-term viability remains questionable.
The longer this trade war drags on, the more the sword industry—a craft that has thrived for centuries—will wither away. The proliferation of accessible swords we’ve seen over the past twenty years may grind to a halt, as rising costs and logistical headaches force forges to close down. And once the forge fires go out, reigniting them may be impossible.
At this moment, we don’t have any silver-bullet solutions. The best advice we can offer is simple: if there’s a sword you’ve been eyeing, now is the time to grab it. Many sellers still have stock at pre-tariff prices—but that window is closing fast.
This industry stands on a tightrope, balanced between survival and collapse. How long we can stay upright is anyone’s guess..
Grim and difficult times ahead, but we will do our best to keep you all informed as by this time next month, to continue our slow motion car crash analogy, we will have some idea of how bad the impact is actually going to be..
Stay tuned and grab some popcorn.
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