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Weekly Analyst Review

27 November 2025

 

Bottom Line Up Front

Two US Men Arrested for Elaborate & Extremely Violent Plot to Invade Gonâve Island (Haiti)


On 20 November 2025, two Texas men, Gavin Rivers Weisenburg (21) of Allen and Tanner Christopher Thomas (20) of Argyle, were indicted for an elaborate and extraordinarily violent plot to invade Gonâve Island, a Haitian island of roughly 87,000 inhabitants. The pair attempted to recruit homeless individuals in Washington, D.C., promising them payment in exchange for participating in an operation in which all male inhabitants would be slaughtered and the women and children enslaved. Their plans included travelling by sailboat, acquiring military-grade rifles, and even learning Haitian Creole to blend in once ashore. 


Thomas enlisted in the U.S. Air Force earlier in the year, allegedly to gain tactical skills, access to weapons, and proximity to the D.C. region; he requested assignment to Joint Base Andrews Maryland to facilitate the recruitment of homeless individuals and to prepare for the maritime component of the scheme. The plot was uncovered through online communications between the two men, leading to federal charges of conspiracy to murder, maim, or kidnap in a foreign country.


The plan reflects a mixture of delusional ambition, extremist fantasy, and predatory criminal intent. Despite being operationally impossible, the suspects’ documented steps show a clear intent to commit mass violence, including genocide and mass sexual enslavement, placing this case squarely within an extremist-motivated criminal conspiracy. Their attempt to recruit homeless individuals demonstrates a willingness to exploit highly vulnerable people and suggests a manipulative, charismatic dynamic typical of fringe extremist cells. Their study of Haitian Creole and pursuit of weapons training indicates genuine preparatory behaviour, however poorly conceived.


The stated goal, exterminating an entire island’s male population and enslaving the rest, strongly echoes white supremacist colonial fantasies, even though investigators have not publicly attributed a specific ideological affiliation. The themes of racial domination, sexual violence, conquest, and total societal subjugation align with known accelerationist, neo-colonial, and incel-adjacent violent ideologies promoted in various extremist online milieus. TRAC has long observed that far-right sympathisers seek entry into the military and law enforcement to gain combat training, communications skills, and logistical experience, making Thomas’s enlistment decision especially notable.


In addition to the terrorism-related charges, both men were also charged with child pornography offences. Although not unique to this case, such charges increasingly appear in investigations involving the most extreme fringes of the far right. Groups such as the Order of Nine Angles (O9A) and the 764 Collective openly promote rape, pedophilia, and other forms of transgression as deliberate violations of social norms. Several members of Atomwaffen Division have likewise been implicated in child exploitation crimes. Similarly, the Terrorgram Collective frequently glorifies misogyny, sexual violence, and domination as components of its ideological framework. While it is not yet clear whether Weisenburg and Thomas were directly associated with such groups, their actions and digital footprint exhibit patterns seen among individuals immersed in these extremist subcultures.

Other Developments

TRAC Incident Report: Search Collectives Uncover 456 Bags of Human Remains near The 2026 World Cup Stadium in Zapopan, Jalisco, Mexico

As of 21 November 2025, at least 456 bags containing human remains have been discovered in multiple locations surrounding the Akron Stadium, creating a human petri dish. Akron Stadium is one of the venues scheduled to host matches for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The remains recovered include intact bodies, dismembered limbs, and skeletal material, representing both recent killings and victims dating back several years. Search brigades have been active in the area since 2022, with one of the largest concentrations, nearly 300 bags, found near the Las Agujas neighbourhood after construction workers uncovered remains during a housing development project.


Further discoveries continue to emerge across the region. More than 130 clandestine burials have been located in a nearby cemetery, and additional remains have been recovered in Tlaquepaque, Nextipac, Plan de la Noria, and Arroyo Hondo, all within proximity to Akron Stadium. Many of these sites have been active dumping grounds since at least 2018, coinciding with the years when the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) consolidated control over the Guadalajara metropolitan area. Between December 2018 and February 2025, authorities identified 186 clandestine graves statewide, with 135 located along the so-called “corridor of death,” an area historically linked to CJNG activity.


The magnitude of these findings exposes ongoing deficiencies in Jalisco’s forensic and investigative systems, including backlogs in identification, storage shortages, and irregularities in handling human remains. Search groups have also reported intimidation by organised crime, which interferes with recovery efforts and, in some cases, pressures officials regarding the release of bodies. These obstacles continue to hinder the identification of victims and undermine public trust.


Crucially, the discoveries carry significant implications for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which will bring global attention, international delegations, and millions of visitors to Mexico. The proximity of mass clandestine burial sites to a World Cup stadium raises acute concerns about:


  • The government’s prioritisation of event logistics over the ongoing human rights and security crisis
  • The potential reputational impact on Mexico and FIFA, particularly for matches held in a zone identified as a dumping ground for cartel violence
  • Security risks for international spectators due to CJNG’s dominance in the surrounding areas
  • The possibility that authorities may attempt to downplay or delay investigations to avoid negative publicity before the tournament


With the clock ticking toward the World Cup, families of the missing fear that stadium preparations, infrastructure projects, and international image management will overshadow their efforts. Despite mounting pressure and security concerns, the search collectives have pledged to continue excavation and documentation.

TRAC Incident Report: Syrian Internal Security Forces Dismantle Suspected Islamic State (IS) Cells During Counter-Terrorism Operation (CTO) in Aleppo & Latakia Governorates, Syria

On 24 November 2025, Syrian internal security forces launched coordinated counter-terrorism operations targeting suspected Islamic State cells in Badrousiyah (Latakia) and Afrin (Aleppo). In Latakia, the operation escalated when two suspects resisted arrest, resulting in an exchange of gunfire that left two alleged IS members dead and one security officer wounded. Additional suspects were detained, and authorities seized weapons, explosives, and other materials reportedly linking the cell to “terrorist activities.”


Syria continues to witness regular CTOs conducted by the Syrian regime, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF/PKK), and, to a lesser extent, HTS-led security structures, all of which operate, directly or indirectly, in connection with the International Coalition’s broader anti-IS framework. Recently, HTS reported a sweeping operation involving 61 raids and 71 arrests across Aleppo, Idlib, Hama, Homs, Deir Ezzor, Raqqa, Damascus, and the Syrian desert. While the scale of that campaign was notable for a relatively inexperienced governing entity, it also demonstrated that covert IS networks remain embedded even in areas with limited historical IS presence. The latest raids in Latakia and Aleppo further reinforce this trend, pointing to a persistent and potentially expanding IS footprint inside purportedly “secure” regime-held provinces.


Unlike the earlier nationwide sweep, the current CTO is concentrated in two areas with large Alawite populations, regions that have experienced heightened sectarian tension since the fall of Damascus. The discovery of suspected IS activity in these already volatile zones is significant: the group has long sought to exploit sectarian fractures and destabilise communities through targeted killings and intimidation. IS messaging has mirrored this ambition; pro-IS graffiti in Aleppo and Latakia provinces has increased in recent weeks, including the slogan “Alawites are enemies of God – The Islamic State” found in Jableh and later echoed in other locations. This pattern points to a concerted effort by IS supporters to mark territory, intimidate minorities, and stir sectarian hostility.


Compounding the challenge, Latakia has also seen renewed activity by former SAA-aligned Alawite armed groups, several of which have carried out attacks against HTS-backed security forces over the past month. Their presence, combined with suspected IS cells, creates a crowded and unstable security environment that complicates the de facto authorities’ ability to maintain control. These tensions come at a time when HTS is already under growing scrutiny amid widespread frustration over its perceived failure to provide meaningful protections for minority communities. This anger was visible just two days prior in Homs, when the killing of two Sunni Bedouins triggered retaliatory violence against nearby Alawite communities—events that have placed further pressure on HTS governance and its claims of building a more inclusive post-war Syria.


Although the CTO may indeed have disrupted genuine IS activity, it may also serve secondary political aims. HTS, like many armed actors in Syria, has historically exaggerated or strategically framed counter-terrorism achievements. Conducting high-profile raids in Alawite-majority strongholds allows HTS to redirect blame for recent targeted killings, incidents some Alawite and pro-Assad factions accuse HTS or rogue jihadist elements of committing, onto IS cells. By portraying IS as the culprit, HTS can bolster its legitimacy, deflect accusations, and manage internal rifts among its own Islamist and militant factions. Despite its efforts to project unity to international partners and domestic opponents, HTS remains an organisation marked by competing agendas, factional loyalties, and shifting internal power dynamics. These forces inevitably shape its counter-terrorism operations and the narratives built around them.

(Video) Shuki Abu Nasira, Former Fatah Officer, Announces New Militia against Hamas, Eastern Khan Yunis, Gaza Strip, Palestine 

A new anti-Hamas militia has emerged in the Gaza Strip, led by Shuki Abu Nasira, a former senior Fatah officer with a rank equivalent to Major General. Abu Nasira, who was previously imprisoned in Israel and famously escaped from Nafha Prison by digging a tunnel, released a video declaring open defiance against Hamas. He claimed he would operate militarily against Hamas alongside his newly formed militia.


The group is reportedly based in the nearly destroyed eastern Khan Yunis, within an area that is currently under Israeli control (behind the so-called “yellow line”). The timing is notable, as Hamas believed that the ceasefire would allow it to reassert internal dominance and dismantle any emerging opposition groups. Instead, the appearance of this militia suggests growing internal fragmentation and renewed challenges to Hamas’ authority inside Gaza.


Abu Nasira carries symbolic weight due to his seniority, past militancy, and prison escape, making him a figure capable of attracting former Fatah fighters, disgruntled militants, or clans who have suffered under Hamas rule. His presence in an area controlled by Israel also suggests the possibility of de facto protection, enabling him to operate with more freedom than groups inside Hamas-controlled zones.


Historically, Hamas has responded to internal challengers with severe and sometimes lethal reprisals, including executions, mass arrests, clan punishment, and targeted killings. The public and confrontational nature of Abu Nasira’s declaration increases the likelihood that Hamas perceives this militia as a direct threat to its internal authority, especially during a period of weakened control due to the ongoing conflict.

TRAC Incident Report: Armed Bandits Kidnap Over 200 Students and Staff from Catholic School in Papiri Village, Niger State, Nigeria

(Claim) Anarchists Set Charging Stations & Power Cabinets Owned By Tesla Ablaze in Niedersachsendamm, Bremen, Germany

TRAC Incident Report: Would-Be Mass Shooter Arrested for Threatening a Hate-Motivated Attack on the François-Villon Adult High School, Paris, France

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