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Weekly Analyst Review

26 October 2022

 

Bottom Line Up Front

On 23 October 2022, around 4:00 AM, an LPG cylinder in a Maruti Suzuki 800 car exploded, killing the driver and damaging the Kottai Eswaran temple, located in the communally sensitive Kottaimedu region in Coimbatore, India. 


The deceased driver was identified as 25-year-old Jamesha Mubin from Kottaipudur, near GM Nagar in Ukkadam. During the investigation, after finding explosive paraphernalia at his residence, it came to light that Mubin was questioned by the National Investigation Agency (NIA) back in 2019 and was already on the watchlist of the Tamil Nadu police. He allegedly was also in touch with one of the Easter Bombing perpetrators and Islamic State linked, Zahran Hashim, who exploded himself at Shangri-La Hotel in Colombo, Sri Lanka.


While originally thought to be an 'accident,' local intelligence agencies are now confirming the blast was “Fidayeen attack” or terrorist attack, particularly given Mubin's history and the explosive materials found in his residence. However, authorities recovered an unexploded LPG cylinder along with steel ball bearings, glass pebbles, and aluminum and iron nails from the scene. This discovery along with the fact no one else was killed or injured does beg the question as to whether or not Mubin committed a fatal error.


It should be noted that the Kottai Eswaran Temple is Ukkadam’s most famous Hindu temple and the blast happened just a day before Diwali. As firecrackers are a significant part of Diwali celebrations, it is likely that the perpetrators intended for the vehicle explosion to represent the same. Additionally, according to Hindu tradition, 4:00 AM is considered to be a very auspicious time for prayers and considering the festival of Diwali, the temple crowd was likely to be at its peak, hence, causing more damage and fatalities. 


Two days later, local authorities detained five men allegedly associated with Jamesha Mubin and are suspected of helping Mubin carry out the operation. The five who were apprehended have been identified as Mohammed Dalga, Mohammed Azharuddin, Mohammed Riyas, Feroz Ismail, and Mohammed Anas Ismail.

Other Developments

TRAC Incident Report:

Jaish ul Adl (Army of Justice) Reveal Hundreds of Fighters,

at Least 50 Military Vehicles in New Armed

Struggle Campaign Against Iran

Image: Jaish ul Adl (Army of Justice) reveal hundreds of fighters in new "Armed Struggle" campaign against Iran

Although the group has noticeably been dormant over the past year, on 20 October 2022, Jaish ul Adl (Army of Justice) released a 10-minute long video announcing a new "Armed Struggle" against the Iranian regime. In addition to supporting the nationwide protests, Jaish ul Adl shows an alarming number of new fighters [TRAC estimates 200-300 new recruits] and military vehicles. There are at least five combat squads and one Rahbari squad (Pakistani unit) showing to be marching in a training camp.

TRAC Incident Report:

Twin Suicide Bombers Killed Attempting to Target Ministry of Internal Affairs in Dera Ismail Khan [D.I. Khan], Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan 

Image: Location of the Attempted Attack

On 25 October 2022, twin suicide bombers were killed attempting to enter Ministry of Internal Affairs in Dera Ismail Khan [better known as D.I. Khan], Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. 


Islamic State Khurasan Pakistan (ISKP) has greatly expanded in the area of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, committing daily attacks across the province. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa borders Afghanistan, which is currently ISK-P's stronghold. The group has long been expanding into neighboring countries. Just five days ago, ISK-P was suspected to be behind a targeted assassination of a Polio vaccination team in Dera Ismail Khan.

TRAC Photo Report:

A Belgian Citizen Carrying Explosives was Detained

Attempting to Cross the Border Between Iraq & Iran

Image: Passport photo of Mosseini Said Hashem

A Belgian citizen named Mosseini Said Hashem was detained in Wasit province, Iraq. The Farsi-speaking man of Afghan descent is suspected of attempting to enter Iran illegally. Some sources claim that the man was carrying explosives and planned to participate in Iranian protests. 


Protests in Iran, caused by the death of a Kurdish woman, have been spiraling for weeks. Thousands of people take to the streets of the country’s cities shouting slogans against Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, calling for a revolution.

On Our Radar:

 

TRAC Incident Report: Woman Points a Gun at a Guard to Gain Entry into the Presidential Palace in Jakarta, Indonesia

Photo Report:

Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) Seize Weapons From Ethiopian National Defense Forces, Oromo Region, Ethiopia

TRAC Video Report:

The FSB Publishes Footage of the Detention & Interrogation of Alleged Islamic State (IS) Affiliated Suspects in Preparation of a Terrorist Attack on the Pyatigorsk Police Department, Pyatigorsk, Stavropol Krai, Russia

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