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Stocks Surge
Easing Middle East tensions and sliding oil prices fueled optimism, pushing the S&P 500 to three consecutive daily record highs starting on Wednesday. The index finished 4.5% higher for the week, and the NASDAQ’s 6.8% rise also pushed that index to record heights. The Dow’s relatively modest 3.2% increase left it 1.5% below its historic peak.
Friday’s rally marked the 13th positive trading session in a row for the NASDAQ, the longest such streak since 1992, punctuating a nearly three-week surge that began on March 31. Each of the major U.S. indexes climbed more rapidly during that stretch than they declined beginning in late February as tensions rose in the Middle East.
U.S. growth stocks outpaced their value counterparts by a wide margin for the third week in a row, eroding the value style’s still-sizable year-to-date performance lead over growth. A growth benchmark finished 6.7% higher for the week, versus a 2.4% rise for a value index.
A U.S. small-cap stock benchmark climbed to a record high on Thursday, surpassing its prior peak set nearly two months earlier. The Russell 2000 Index climbed 5.6% for the week. Just four weeks earlier, the index had entered a correction after falling 10% below its recent peak.
Prices of U.S. government bonds rose, sending yields lower for the fourth week in a row amid easing concerns about inflation risks. The yield of the 10-year Treasury note finished the week at 4.24%, down from a recent peak of 4.44% on March 27.
A two-week decline in oil prices accelerated on Friday as shipping disruptions eased in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. crude was trading around $83 per barrel on Friday afternoon, down from around $96 a week earlier and a recent peak of about $113 on April 7. On a year-to-date basis, however, oil was up more than 40% as of Friday.
Most of the big U.S. banks that opened earnings season reported better-than-expected results, lifted by higher trading revenue. As of Friday, analysts projected that financials sector earnings rose 19.7% in the first quarter, according to FactSet. That’s above the 15.1% average gain that analysts had forecast for the sector entering the week.
Although U.S. producer prices climbed in March, the gain was far below the level that most economists had expected, given the recent rise in energy costs. Tuesday’s release of the Producer Price Index showed a monthly gain of 0.5% versus the 1.1% consensus forecast of economists. Higher gasoline prices accounted for about half of the overall gain.
Source: John Hancock Investment Management
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