Lead-Left-logo-for-Newsletter image

PDF | Research | Week of July 10, 2023

Quote of the Week

“There are signals on the periphery that the labor market is slowing.”

– Brett Ryan, senior US economist, Deutsche Bank.

Lead Left Vodcast

A Loan for All Seasons

(Last of a Series)

🔔 Subscribe to our YouTube channel: click here

Watch Now

The Case for Junior Capital (Part One)

observe image

It’s been a while since we felt the need to reiterate the case for junior capital.


Back in December 2015 the senior debt market was in full swing recovery from the Great Recession. Interest rates were at rock-bottom lows, and senior spreads were near their post-GFC tights. Unitranche financings was growing in popularity – and size with mega-tranches – sporting leverage over seven times Ebitda for the better issuers.


“Mezz is dead,” we heard repeatedly. Not for the first time, and probably not the last.


In our four-plus decades of private debt participation and observation, this is a regular occurrence. When senior debt managers are putting extra foam on the latte, it’s assumed no one is drinking coffee black. We made that point in our first “Why Mezz Matters” column over seven years ago (link)...

Read More

Chart of the Week

Sub Raising

2022 saw the second highest level of mezzanine fundraising of the past decade.

July-10-2023-CTW-1536x1043 image

Source: PitchBook

Lead with Your Left

30-DAY FREE MEMBERSHIP


Join the leading voice of the middle market. Try us free for 30 days.
Learn More

Stat of the Week

Jul-10-2023-Stat image

Loan Stats at a Glance 

PitchbookLCD-Logo-for-newsletter image
July-10-2023-LCD-1024x724 image

Contact: Marina Lukatsky / S&P Global Market Intelligence

PDI Picks

Firms look for new ways into technology

July-10-2023-PDI-1024x749 image

The sector is continuing to grow in popularity, evidenced by recent strategic moves from the likes of SoftBank and BlackRock...

Read More

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

2Q23 US middle market syndicated

lending dropped 53% year-over-year

July-10-2023-RF-1024x737 image

US middle market syndicated loan volume reached US$27.8bn in 2Q23, down 53% from 2Q22 and 7% quarter-over-quarter. Sponsored syndicated loan volume was on par with 1Q23, but was down 60% year-over-year...

Read More

Contact: Diana Diquez / Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

A welcome bump in exits

July-10-2023-PitchBook-1024x691 image

Exit activity rose in Q2 and stopped a four-quarter slide, according to PitchBook’s just-released US PE Breakdown. It wasn’t exactly a resurgence, but was welcome news nonetheless. Exits came to a standstill in Q1...

Download Data & Report
Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

DL Deals: News & Analysis

DLD-Logo image

Year-to-Date Default Volume, Count

July-10-2023-DLDs-1024x743 image

Contact: Kelly Thompson / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

Fitchratings-for-newsletters image

Rating Trend for Middle Market Issuers

July-10-2023-FitchRatings-1024x726 image

Following a modestly positive 2021 in which upgrades in Fitch’s Private Monitored Rating portfolio outpaced downgrades at a rate of around 1.2x, downgrades outpaced upgrades in 2022 at a 1.8x rate as inflation...

Download Report

Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Distribution of Accordion F&C Tranche

EBITDA Grower Caps (L3M)

July-10-2023-CR-1024x693 image
Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

July-10-2023-Levfin-1-1024x756 image
July-10-2023-Levfin-2-1024x756 image
July-10-2023-Levfin-3-1024x753 image
Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
Download Data

Private Debt Intelligence

Preqin-vF image

Growth capital dominates in

North American PD deals

July-10-2023-Preqin-1024x686 image

Almost two thirds of private debt deals since 2020 involved North American portfolio companies, demonstrating the region’s dominance in the asset class. Of the deals involving North American portfolio companies...

Download Data

Contact: Laura Messchendorp / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

Debtwire-New-Logo image
July-10-2023-Debtwire-1024x702 image

Source: VanEck BDC Income ETF, BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield

Download Data

Contact: Suneet Chandvani / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

June-2023-SPP-768x685 image

Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

Select Deals in the Market

July-10-2023-Deals-1536x643 image
Churchill-2020-logo-white-for-event-invite image
STAY CONNECTED
Twitter  Linkedin  Youtube  

This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.