Archives| PDF | Research | Week of Feb 24, 2020
European Direct Lending
10 th March, London
From watchlists through secondaries to securitisation, the most in-depth event in the middle market returns.
If the virus comes here—and that’s still a very big if—that sends ripples through my body. – Beth Ann Bovino, chief US economist, S&P Global Ratings. 
Lead Left Vodcast
Private Credit Myth #5: No One Uses Mezzanine Debt Anymore

🔔 To stay up to date with our latest vodcast and market trends, make sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel by clicking link here .
Top Ten Myths About Private Credit
(Sixth of a Series)
We spent our winter break last week at an Arizona dude ranch. In the horse barn we spotted a sign: “There will be a $5 charge for whining.”

Heading into the home stretch of our special series on private credit myths, we like the cost for complaining. For faithful readers of The Lead Left , however, there’s no charge.

Myth #7: “Private credit recoveries will be worse than 2009”

The notion that leveraged loan performance will be worse during the next recession rests on the current prevalence of record high borrower leverage and cov-lite structures. If performance deteriorates, lenders have no triggers until a payment default...
Readers' Say
This Week’s Question
To reduce stress at work, I...
(*All responses are confidential.)
Listen to music
Check my favorite websites
Take a walk
Talk to colleagues
Stretch
Last Week's Results
My prediction for Fed interest rate moves this year is:
Chart of the Week
Recovery Room
Based on loss given default assessments, Moody’s estimates loan recoveries will slip below 60% in 2020.
Source: Moody’s Investors Service
Lead with Your Left
Click here to view Newsletter sample
30-DAY FREE MEMBERSHIP

Join the leading voice of the middle market. 

One-stop source for deals and data 
Market trend commentary and analysis
Exclusive interviews with thought leaders
Stat of the Week
 Loan Stats at a Glance 
PDI Picks
Distress is back in fashion
Amid a subdued year for private debt fundraising in 2019, distressed debt proved to be a magnet for investors...
Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis
Oil and gas is the top defaulted sector 
in U.S. CLOs as of January
At the end of January 2020, oil & gas, aerospace and defense, and mining were the top defaulted sectors in active US CLOs on a volume basis. Oil and gas had US$1.06bn of loan debt in 642 CLOs, of which US$602m is McDermott loan debt...
Wednesday, April 29, 2020|The Roosevelt Hotel, New York City
The Pulse of Private Equity
Holding on to winners
Last month we wrote about the decline in PE holding times, with the median dropping below five years for the first time in almost a decade. These figures represent portfolio companies and not fund durations...
Contact:   Alex Lykken / PitchBook
High-Yield Bond Statistics
Weekly fund flows source:  Lipper
DL Deals: News & Analysis
DL Deals: ACProducts Deep Dive
KKR Capital Markets used hard call premiums starting at 103 on ACProducts , a B/B2 credit that had more of a hybrid distribution strategy this month, to protect the attractive L+650 spread from being taken out quickly via repricing...
Covenant Trends 
Percentage of Loans with
Uncapped Synergies &
Cost Savings EBITDA Addbacks
Private Debt Intelligence
Outlook for Private Debt in 2020
Private debt investors are generally satisfied with the performance of their portfolios. Eighty-nine percent of those Preqin surveyed in November 2019 said that private debt performance had either met or exceeded their expectations...
Debtwire Middle-Market
Secondary loan market softens 
in face of coronavirus fears
Source: Debtwire Par, Markit
With fears around the spread of the coronavirus growing, loan investors are faced with the decision to reduce risk or buy the recent dip in the secondary market. After several months defined by repricings...
Contact:  Vincent Daigger / Debtwire  
Feb Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance
Select Deals in the Market
This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.