Q: There was some good inflation news. What does this mean?

A: Last week we saw a better-than-expected inflation number, but the positive market response may be an overreaction. The Fed will need to see further improvement before they change course, but it WAS good news. We only say this because more volatility is likely and we should be prepared for it.
In recent meetings with many of you, we have shared our impression that the bond market is likely to see more sustained (or durable) improvement before the stock market. If the Federal Reserve sees continued improvement in inflation, they are more likely to stick to their previously disclosed target. This will improve the near-term outlook for bonds, and we are are hopeful this will be the case.**