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Q: I saw that the employment numbers were recently revised downward. Is this a sign of more job troubles to come?
A: Employment data revisions are pretty normal, but the magnitude of this revision was unusually large. It does not mean the stats were being cooked, and we don’t know exactly why the date was so off this time.
The number of new jobs in the period in question was still large, even with the reduction. But it IS clear that the job market is cooling. This provides more support for a September rate cut, which was expected anyway.
If rates are cut, even by a small amount, we can expect the interest on savings accounts to decline. In many cases, we are seeing those decreases in forward looking instruments like CDs.
We don’t know if the job market will continue to weaken, but it is something to watch.
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