I really wish I could say that I had been wrong, but sadly it appears that the predictions I made for the sword industry in the
June Edition of the digest have become a stark reality (and even scarier, I had been right about the direction it was heading up to that edition - and again, I wish I had been wrong..)
Predictions such as:
"If I had to guess, I would say that there will be a series of short lived restocks, dramatic price rises.."
And:
"In the short term, many of the smaller sword manufacturers and vendors are unlikely to survive this period"
Pretty much describes the situation we are in right now - but with none of the positives I had hoped might be on the horizon..
In short, there has been no circuit breaker - and now we are seeing nothing but almost total stock shortages, much higher prices sweeping (or about to sweep) across the industry and - well, it is going to be a very strange holiday season coming up, that is for sure!
Normally around this time of year we would suggest that now is a good time to start to think about securing some swords for Christmas, but with worldwide shipping even worse than it was back in June and with NO respite seemingly in sight, I suspect that every restock that comes in from now on will:
- Be a LOT more expensive and
- The best stuff will be gobbled up and sold out within a few days due to insanely pent up demand regardless of higher prices..
All in all, it is not a very good time to do much sword shopping - and as we head into the holiday season it is going to get crazy..
To help you make sense of it all, our friends at Kult of Athena have a couple of articles on their blog about what to expect as we approach the holiday season in two articles:
The silly season is looking to be extra silly this year, and it does appear that the majority of the restocks that would usually arrive in late November will likely not land until early 2022...
And maybe then we will see a glut, but with much higher costs - yeah..
All I can say is, I hope that there is some kind of circuit breaker soon...