Powell says likely need two or more hikes to cool inflation
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said at least two interest-rate increases are likely necessary this year to bring the inflation rate down to the US central bank’s 2% target and that acting at consecutive policy meetings isn’t “off the table.” (Bloomberg Economics - Central Banks | Jun 29) see also Powell says Fed’s inflation fight could take years (The Wall Street Journal | Jun 28)
US banks scramble on research fees as a reprieve on European rules runs out
Wall Street banks and brokerages are in a last-minute scramble to meet a July 3 deadline to charge investors for research reports, bankers and others in the industry said, a requirement that threatens their European business if they fail to comply. (Reuters | Jun 28)
Money markets are giving Fed room to keep shedding Treasuries
Money markets are giving the Federal Reserve a green light to continue shedding Treasury securities from the massive pile accumulated as part of its pandemic response. (Bloomberg Markets | Jun 27) see also Treasury-market liquidity, long in decline, is improving (Bloomberg Law | Jun 26)
Supreme Court to hear case that could block Democrats' plans to tax the rich
The Supreme Court said Monday that it will hear arguments in a tax law case that could yield billions of dollars for large corporations, block Democrats’ proposals to tax wealthy Americans, and upend longstanding chunks of the tax code. The court, in an unsigned order, said it would decide a case that asks whether people and companies have to receive, or realize, income for it to be taxed under the 16th Amendment. Arguments will happen in the court term that starts in October. (The Wall Street Journal | Jun 26)
Bond market faces longest inversion in US history
Investors are conceding that the Fed is now intensely focused on fighting inflation and less concerned about higher interest rates breaking the US economy. That suggests the extraordinary bond market volatility of the past 15 months is set to persist, as 80% of respondents to the midyear Markets Live Pulse survey predict the US yield curve will remain inverted into 2024. (Bloomberg Markets | Jun 26)
|