Third Quarter Review
In This Issue

This Monday, October 9, marks the 10-year anniversary of the S&P 500's highest point before the Great Recession. While the ensuing decade has provided quite a rocky road for the markets at times, the recovery is undeniable. [1]
In fact, last week, markets posted one record high after another - and the S&P 500 had its longest streak of record closes since 1997. [2] At the markets' close, the S&P 500 added 1.19%, the Dow gained 1.65%, and the NASDAQ grew by 1.45%. [3] International stocks in the MSCI EAFE lost 0.07%. [4]

These domestic gains came despite stocks stumbling slightly on Friday in reaction to disappointing jobs numbers. After 7 years of monthly growth, the September jobs report indicated the first labor market contraction since 2010, with 33,000 jobs lost. The decrease was largely due to the aftermath of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Despite this unexpected contraction, however, the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level in 16 years, and average hourly earnings increased by 2.9%. [5]

We also began the first trading week of the 4th quarter last Monday, so we will review Q3's performance and what lies ahead for Q4.  

How did the markets perform in Q3?

If we had to pick one word to describe performance in Q3, it would be: positive.

1.  Sustained Market Growth
Throughout the quarter, all four indexes we track in this weekly update had solid showings and hit a number of record highs. The S&P 500 was up 3.96%, the Dow rose 4.94%, the NASDAQ jumped 5.79%, and the MSCI-EAFE gained 4.81%. [6] Both the Dow and S&P 500 marked their 8 th straight quarter of gains, and the NASDAQ was not far behind with its 5 th positive quarter in a row. [7] The S&P 500 even had its least volatile September in over 47 years. [8]

2. Continued Global Gains  
Globally, European and emerging markets posted their 3 rd straight quarters of impressive gains. [9] In September, Chinese manufacturing experienced its fastest growth since 2012. [10]

What drove the markets in Q3?

Rather than last quarter's growth rallying around a few sectors, markets advanced broadly in Q3, with 10 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors gaining. [11] This positive performance reflects solid corporate earnings, stronger oil prices, and impressive core capital goods orders - though inflation remained below the Fed's target of 2%. [12]  

What is on the horizon for Q4?

By most accounts, betting against a strong 4th quarter seems like a bad idea: The S&P 500 has grown during Q4 in 7 out of the past 8 years. [13] Americans remain generally bullish on the economy and continue to increase their spending as their incomes grow and inflation remains low. [14]  

In addition, manufacturing, services, and housing all seem to be supporting economic expansion. [15] This growth is not limited to the United States; globally, 94% of countries are experiencing year-over-year economic growth. [16]  

Of course, the coming weeks will give us an even clearer understanding of Q3 performance - and Q4 expectations. If you have questions about how the markets are affecting your portfolio and future, please let us know. We are here to provide the guidance you need and help clarify your investment process.

Monday: Banks Closed for Columbus Day Holiday
Wednesday: JOLTS
Thursday: Jobless Claims
Friday:   Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales, Consumer Sentiment


Notes: All index returns (except S&P 500) exclude reinvested dividends, and the 5- year and 10-year returns are annualized. The total returns for the S&P 500 assume reinvestment of dividends on the last day of the month. This may account for differences between the index returns published on  and the index returns published elsewhere. International performance is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

If you can't do great things, do small things in a great way."

 - Napoleon Hill

Flank Steak Panzanella Salad

Serves 4

  • Cooking spray
  • 1 pound flank steak, trimmed
  • ½ teaspoon kosher salt, divided in half
  • ½ teaspoon black pepper, freshly ground and divided in half
  • 3 tablespoons extra virgin olive oil
  • 2 tablespoons red wine vinegar
  • 2 cups baby arugula
  • ½ cup red onion, thinly sliced
  • ½ cup fresh basil, thinly sliced
  • 1 pound multicolored heirloom tomatoes, sliced in wedges
  • 1 medium cucumber, cut into lengthwise halves and sliced
  • 3 ounces whole wheat baguette, cut into cubes and toasted
  1. Prep grill by preheating it to medium-high.
  2. Cover grill rack with cooking spray.
  3. Sprinkle ¼ teaspoon each of salt and pepper on the steak.
  4. Grill steak 3 to 4 minutes on each side or to preferred temperature.
  5. Remove steak from grill and let sit for 5 minutes.
  6. Cut steak into thin slices, going across the grain.
  7. Combine olive oil, vinegar, and remaining salt and pepper in a large bowl.
  8. Toss together arugula, basil, tomatoes, and cucumbers in bowl with olive oil mixture. 
  9. Mix the steak and bread cubes into the salad, and let sit for 10 minutes before serving.


Recipe adapted from My Recipes [17]

Try the Chunk-and-Roll to Improve Height

No one likes landing in a sand trap, but a greenside bunker shot makes a bad lie even worse. If you want to recover from this situation, you need to have the skill - and nerve - to hit the ball just right.
Hitting a greenside bunker shot successfully requires you to address two key factors: 1) how much speed is in your swing and 2) where you enter the sand with your clubface.  

If you're staring at an upslope or your ball is stuck in the sand, try the "chunk-and-roll" to get the height you need. With this approach, you're trying to make your ball pop out high, travel with no spin, and follow the green's break. The ultimate goal is to have your clubhead blast the sand 2 to 3 inches behind the ball, so you have no chance of hitting it thin.

To set up the shot:
  1. Distribute your weight evenly across the slope by favoring your front foot.
  2. Open your stance a bit and swing along your foot line.
  3. Make sure you swing hard, using a downward driving motion.
  4. Keep the slope from stopping your club's momentum by exploding through the shot with your arms and shoulders strong. 

Tip courtesy of Max Adler | Golf Tips Magazine [19]
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Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets.

International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies. 

The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia. 

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate. The index is made up of measures of real estate prices in 20 cities and weighted to produce the index.

The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

These are the views of Platinum Advisor Marketing Strategies, LLC, and not necessarily those of the named representative, Broker dealer or Investment Advisor, and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named representative nor the named Broker dealer or Investment Advisor gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please consult your financial advisor for further information.

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