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To get your full statistics fix with data from STR, Key Data, and the Charles M. Schulz Sonoma County Airport, check out the Monthly Tourism Destination Data Dashboard at Sonomacounty.com/partners/statistics/.

Today's Takeaways

From SCT's Research and Data Systems Manager, Allie Nordby

Fall 2025 Travel Forecast – U.S. Travel

According to U.S. Travel, the U.S. economy showed signs of strain in the second half of 2025, with a softening labor market and slower income growth dampening consumer sentiment and discretionary spending. Despite these headwinds, the economy is expected to regain momentum in 2026 and 2027, supported by tax cuts and lower interest rates. Inflation remains a concern, with tariffs pushing up core goods prices, and overall inflation is projected to exceed 3% by year-end.


Domestic travel continues to show resilience, especially among higher-income households prioritizing experiences over goods. Leisure travel is forecasted to grow 3.3% this year, reaching $906 billion, while business travel is expected to hit $286 billion, split nearly evenly between group and transient segments. Although air travel volumes are slightly down in 2025, steady growth is expected to resume in 2026. Business travel is also poised for stronger gains over the next few years, fueled by economic acceleration and investment incentives.


International travel, however, faces a setback. Inbound visits are projected to decline 6.3% in 2025, the first drop since 2020, largely due to geopolitical tensions and a steep fall in Canadian arrivals. Spending from international visitors is expected to fall to $176 billion, impacting both leisure and business segments. Recovery is anticipated by 2029, driven by major global events like the FIFA World Cup, America 250 celebration, and the 2028 Summer Olympics. In the meantime, destinations may need to lean into domestic demand and value-driven messaging to maintain momentum.


Traveler Segments 2025 – Powered by the State of the American Traveler – Miles Partnership and Future Partners

The latest State of the American Traveler report highlights four key segments shaping leisure travel: DINKs (Dual-Income, No-Kids), Wellness Seekers, Gen Z, and Sports & Music Event Travelers. DINKs tend to be high earners with comparable travel budgets to families, but they’re more selective and less likely to increase spending in the coming year. Wellness Seekers prioritize travel as essential to their physical and mental well-being, favoring destinations that offer restorative experiences. Sports & Music Event Travelers are the most active, planning an average of 4.2 leisure trips annually, making them a prime target for destination marketers.


Gen Z stands out for their digital-first approach to travel planning, relying heavily on platforms like TikTok and Instagram for inspiration—unlike Boomers, who remain largely disengaged from these channels. Despite their enthusiasm, Gen Z reports the lowest travel budgets and is most affected by concerns about affordability. Across all segments, cost remains a key barrier, though higher-income groups continue to drive travel demand. The report suggests that value-driven messaging and immersive experiences will be critical for attracting and engaging these diverse traveler types.

 

You can view this article from Future Partners here.

Here are a few other notable insights from the travel and tourism sector:


US Monthly Newsletter September Edition, Tourism Economics - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, signaling a shift toward supporting a weakening labor market despite moderated inflation. Consumer spending shows a growing divide: high-income households are driving retail gains, while low-income groups face rising costs and job insecurity. Tariffs continue to burden lower-income consumers, though they pose limited inflation risk. Travel trends reflect this bifurcation. Domestic air travel is rebounding, but hotel demand is uneven, with luxury segments showing strength, while budget and group travel are soft. International tourism to the U.S. remains weak, especially from Canada, while outbound travel by Americans continues to surge, creating economic pressure for states reliant on foreign visitor spending.


Bleisure travel boom redefines business trips, work culture, Forbes - This article highlights the growing trend of “bleisure” travel, where professionals combine business with leisure to boost creativity, strengthen relationships, and enhance well-being. With the U.S. bleisure market exceeding $800B in 2025, companies are shifting away from hurried itineraries toward more deliberate, extended stays. Read more about how slowing down can lead to smarter business decisions.


The Latest Travel Data - September 2025, U.S. Travel - The U.S. Travel Association’s September 2025 report highlights steady growth in domestic leisure travel, a rebound in business and group travel, and ongoing recovery in international inbound tourism. Air travel volumes are nearing pre-pandemic levels, supported by strong demand from Europe and Latin America. Hotel performance remains robust, with high occupancy and room rates, while travel spending continues to bolster economic recovery despite persistent labor shortages in the hospitality sector.


US holiday travel plans steady, but cost-conscious, Hotel Investment Today by Northstar - A September 2025 PwC report shows that U.S. holiday travel plans stay steady, with 44% of consumers planning to travel, similar to last year. However, concerns about costs are increasing, especially among Gen Z, leading to more cautious spending. Overall holiday spending is expected to fall by 5%, marking the first decrease since 2020. Many travelers plan to visit family, while others prefer to celebrate at home. Notably, 76% of millennials say they’re likely to use AI agents for travel recommendations.


Holiday travel 2025: Americans think they waited too long to book, but there’s still timeThe Points Guy - A September 2025 survey by The Points Guy and Harris Poll shows that nearly two-thirds of Americans plan to travel during the holiday season, up from 51% last year. While 39% worry they waited too long to book, airfare prices are expected to drop soon, especially during ideal booking periods like late September to late October for Thanksgiving, and around Halloween to mid-November for Christmas. Travelers are favoring price over brand loyalty, with many using points and miles to reduce costs. Major concerns include weather delays, crowded airports, and cancellations.



Astrotourism surges as travelers seek dark sky parks, Travelpulse by Northstar - Astrotourism is gaining popularity as widespread light pollution makes it nearly impossible for most Americans to see the Milky Way from home. This increasing interest is driven by rare celestial events connected to the current solar cycle, encouraging travelers to visit national parks—some of the last true refuges for dark skies. Leading the list is Great Basin National Park in Nevada, known for its pristine Bortle 1 skies and regular stargazing events. Death Valley and Big Bend also provide exceptional darkness, though they do not have formal programming. Zion National Park is prominent for night sky programs, while Capitol Reef offers a peaceful, scenic setting perfect for celestial viewing.


Is Gen Z destroying wine culture? No, but they might reshape how we drink it, The Press Democrat - Generation Z is quietly transforming the wine industry. Younger consumers are leaning toward natural wines, canned formats, and low-alcohol options, prioritizing authenticity, sustainability, and wellness over traditional prestige. Their digital-centric habits and demand for transparency are encouraging wineries to rethink marketing, packaging, and storytelling. While some worry about decreasing interest in classic wine traditions, others view this change as an opportunity to innovate and connect with a new generation of drinkers.


The Rise of the “Soft Reset Trip”, Bustle - Many travelers are embracing “soft reset” trips focused on relaxation and renewal. A recent Vrbo report found that 54% of travelers are choosing more secluded, serene destinations, with 75% saying these escapes help reduce anxiety. Demand is rising for cabins in the woods, beach cottages, and lake houses. Hilton’s 2025 Trends Report echoes this shift, noting that over one in five travelers are opting for simpler getaways that encourage spontaneity; think guilt-free sleep-ins, spa rituals, and the art of hurkle-durkling (lounging in bed all day). Travel agency Fora also reports a move toward leisure-driven experiences, with clients favoring local guides, nature walks, cooking classes, and community-led cultural activities that foster deeper connections with their destination.


See you later: Solo travelers are leaving partners behind, Travel Weekly - Solo travel is gaining popularity, not because people are single, but because they’re choosing to leave partners, friends, and family behind. According to Travel Weekly Asia, this trend is driven by a desire for personal growth, flexibility, and deeper cultural immersion. Travelers are increasingly looking for experiences that match their own interests, from wellness retreats to adventure tours, without compromises. The shift reflects a broader movement toward self-discovery and intentional travel, especially among millennials and Gen Z.

STR Tracking for Sonoma County

Things to Note:

  • STR compares “Weekly Year Over Year”
  • Full county participation is approximately 48% of hotel properties and 78% of rooms
  • Total hotel supply rooms in Sonoma County in August 2025: 8,306 rooms
  • The average from other destinations includes Napa, Palm Springs, Monterey, South Lake Tahoe, Vallejo/Napa Valley, and San Luis Obispo

 

STR is the recognized leader in hospitality industry benchmarking around the globe. Powered by the world's largest hotel data sample, they deliver confidential data, accurate and actionable insights, and comprehensive solutions to empower decisions. Discover how STR collects data, how it is calculated, and a glossary of terms by clicking here. 

Occupancy Data for Hotels & Short Term Lodgings

*Please note the charts below contain different date ranges.

Air Travel Year Over Year Trends

At Charles M. Schulz Sonoma County Airport

Recent Travel By Month

At Charles M. Schulz Sonoma County Airport

Total passenger enplanements and deplanements year-over-year

*Source STS: Sonoma County Airport

Total passenger enplanements and deplanements by month

*Source STS: Sonoma County Airport

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