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The markets made a resilient comeback during the second quarter of the year after the volatility we experienced in the first quarter. This is a classic, textbook example of the benefit of staying the course and remaining invested in your current portfolio.
With markets again at all time highs, now may be a good time to reassess whether or not you need to rebalance your portfolio or consider lowering your stock allocation if the market volatility in Q1 made you lose some sleep.
The S&P 500* returned 15.20% for the quarter, a sharp reversal from the -4.33% from last quarter. Small cap stocks returned 19.70% and large cap value stocks returned 13.87%. On the international side for stocks, developed stocks returned 14.2% for the quarter. Emerging market stocks returned 12.1%.
Bond funds returned 0.67% for intermediate-term bonds and 0.38% for short-term bonds, with 1-year total returns in the 3% range. It was a notable quarter at the Federal Reserve, with new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh taking office in May and demonstrating a more hawkish tone on inflation than the market anticipated. Despite the market now pricing in rate increases before the end of the year, bonds still yielded positive total returns for the quarter, a reminder that when looking at bond returns, it’s important to factor in both the price change and the interest income (total return).
Similar to last quarter, this quarter has most rewarded investors who are well diversified. While the S&P 500 tends to grab the headlines, out of all the asset classes mentioned, it was actually the lowest performing one over the past 12 months (22%), with small cap being the top performing asset class mentioned at 37.50% for the 1-year time period.
With uncertainty running at levels relatively similar to what we’ve seen over the past few quarters, your guess is as good as ours as to what Q3 will hold. That’s exactly why we recommend staying invested in a portfolio that’s appropriately allocated to your risk tolerance and goals, rather than trying to predict what comes next. If you’re unsure how your portfolio is currently allocated, or you’d like to make sure it still lines up with your long-term financial goals, give us a call – we’re always happy to sit down and take a look together.
*Source for investment returns is YCharts. Quarterly returns are as of June 30, 2026. S&P 500 TR USD for S&P 500. S&P SmallCap 600 TR USD for small cap stock. Russell 1000 Value Total Return for large value stocks. FTSE Developed All Cap ex US Index for developed markets stock. FTSE Emerging Markets China A Inclusion Indices for emerging markets stock. Bloomberg US Aggregate Total Return for intermediate-term bonds. Bloomberg US Government/Credit 1-5 Year Total Return for short-term bonds.
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