As #plant23 approaches, the bigger issue could very well be saturated soils. In the near term, we have quite the rainfall event on the horizon. We'll see multiple rounds of rainfall through early Saturday and in addition, a very moist air mass will likely lead to some bouts of heavy rain. The most intense activity is expected Thursday night through Friday night, which will likely prompt a flooding threat. The focus for flooding currently sits along the Ohio River, across Western KY and up into the Northern Bluegrass. A tier of 1 to 3 counties south of the river are currently under a Flood Watch.
There could still be some changes to the location of heaviest rainfall. There's been a northern shift in this axis over recent days. As it sits now, Southern Indiana and Illinois will likely see the highest accumulations (3-4+ inches), but as you can see in the map below, those portions of KY mentioned above could see 2+. Time to be weather aware. There are indications that this rain will push the Ohio River into minor flood stages across the Green River Region of Western KY.
In addition, some strong to severe storms will be possible on Friday, primarily across Western KY. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado would be the main threats, but there's still some question as to whether we'll be able to tap into enough instability. Stay tuned.