Live from New Orleans, we are enjoying the highly anticipated 36th Tulane Corporate Law Institute conference, where dealmakers have congregated in record numbers to talk M&A, activism, and where the next meal is. Wachtell’s David Katz, the conference’s co-leader, said the sold-out confab had a record of 875 attendees.
Evercore’s Bill Anderson gave the banker outlook with a look at 2023 and what may come in 2024 – using classic film and T.V. clips to underline his points. He described 2023 as “a tale of two markets” – where eight of the ten largest deals happened in the second half of the year, and where, amidst a complicated financing environment, cash was king and the “L” was dropped from LBOs almost entirely. In his best cinematic reference of the day, Anderson compared antitrust regulatory hurdles to Monty Python’s Black Knight blocking King Arthur on his path to the holy grail – “None Shall Pass” and predicted those pressures would continue in 2024, particularly for large or cross-border transactions.
In terms of outlook, Anderson highlighted the good start to 2024, saying that “while global M&A remains challenged, overall volumes are trending up,” and noted several M&A green shoots for what remains of the year including mid-year rate cuts, the role of private equity and private credit, and an uptick in hostile activity and activism pressure. That aligns with the results of our own 2024 Dealmaker Survey, in which a super majority (76%) of dealmakers think the deal market would be up modestly this year, and 10% believe M&A will be up “sharply.”
The always lively Hot Topics in M&A Practice panel, hosted by Sullivan & Cromwell’s Rita-Anne O’Neill, heard from Paul Weiss’s Scott Barshay who, after a spirited back-and-forth with Wachtell’s Leo Strine, made clear to the audience that the goal of activism defense should be to “win” a shareholder vote, not create a prohibitive board nomination process through “illegal” bylaw amendments. S&C’s Audra Cohen offered an optimistic 2024 outlook for IPOs, commenting, “we are seeing life returning to the IPO market.”
For those of you unable to attend this year’s conference, we’ve included the conference slides here: Day 1 and Day 2.
Have a great weekend,
GPP Team
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