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Just when the deal community started preparations to decamp to the Hamptons for much of August, the M&A and IPO markets have opened up, leading to sold out Blade flights, packed Jitneys (Ambassador line only), a glut of $25 Round Swam Farm guacamole and your pick of table at the Crow's Nest.
The deal community is enjoying a legitimate late summer M&A rally, something we've been waiting on all year. As Lauren Thomas at The Wall Street Journal highlighted, the last ten days have shown the highest M&A volumes for U.S. companies since 2021. After widespread early-year doubts following Liberation Day, trade pacts between Washington and our foreign counterparts have propelled management teams and their advisors to move quickly in striking their own big boardroom deals, with $125 billion in transactions announced since the end of July.
A nice complement to the resurgence in M&A is a seemingly wide-open IPO window, according to Axios’ Dan Primack, “wide enough to fly a spaceship through it” following aerospace technology firm Firefly’s successful first trading session: shares surged as high as $71.16 after pricing at $45 ahead of Thursday’s listing. The ‘pops’ of new entrants like Figma, Circle, Chime and CoreWeave have demonstrated the market’s hankering for new names.
M&A leaders on Wall Street are echoing bullish sentiment. In one of her last interviews for Bloomberg News, Sonali Basak sat down with Goldman’s Avi Mehrotra to discuss dealmaking in public and private markets, with Mehrotra proclaiming we’re in “early stages” of a multi-year deal cycle with “room to run,” and we are seeing “activity in all geographies across the world, in multiple industry sectors.” When asked about the potential for a $100bn deal anytime soon, Avi asserted, “the C-suite feels that they can get things done at this moment that perhaps they couldn’t’ a few years ago. And we’re also living in a world of multi-trillion-dollar market cap companies and so I do see deals inching higher. Whether we cross $100bn or not remains to be seen.” (Sonali, what’s next?)
While chatting with CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin in Aspen, Centerview’s Blair Effron chimed in with similar optimism toward deals in TMT and the financial services sector while warning that consumer-oriented corporates “can’t continue to eat the cost of tariffs.”
Have a great weekend,
GPP Team
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