Portfolio Advisory Council, LLC presents:
 

 

THE WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

 

October 5, 2020 

 
 
QUOTE OF THE WEEK

"Don't let yesterday use up too much of today." 

"The best way out of a difficulty is through it."

WILL ROGERS

THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Stocks advanced last week, propelled by hopes that legislators may reach an agreement for a new fiscal stimulus package and optimism generated by a few corporate deal announcements and initial public offerings.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.87%, while the Standard & Poor's 500 increased 1.52%. The Nasdaq Composite index gained 1.48% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, advanced 1.56%.1,2,3

Stocks Manage Gains

Stocks ebbed and flowed all week as investors reacted to news that legislators might have reached a compromise for a new round of fiscal stimulus. By Friday afternoon, the negotiations proved unfruitful, though stocks managed to retain some of the gains built up over the course of the week.

Corporate buyout announcements, along with a couple of high profile initial public offerings, helped the overall market while technology stocks enjoyed a good week. Energy stocks continued to lag.

In volatile Friday trading, stocks sagged following a weak employment report and news that President Trump had tested positive for COVID-19 and was later hospitalized. Losses were trimmed later in the day on comments by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who suggested an airline aid bill may be in the works.

Conflicting Employment Data

Last week's employment reports and corporate layoff announcements painted a mixed picture of the labor market.

The monthly ADP (Automated Data Processing) report on private sector hiring showed an unexpectedly strong growth of 749,000, while jobless claims remained over 800,000.4,5

Continuing jobs claims fell by nearly one million, but there were a number of large companies, including major airlines, that announced layoffs during the week. Friday's employment report showed 661,000 nonfarm payrolls were added in September, dropping the unemployment rate to 7.9%. What appears to be clear, is that the direction remains positive but the pace of progress has eased a bit.6
 
 

BY THE NUMBER$
MORE THAN JUST WAGES - For every $1 spent for wages and salaries in the private sector as of June 2020, employers spend an additional 45 cents on benefits, including paid leave, insurance, retirement plans and legally required benefits. Average private sector compensation is $28.24 per hour while the cost of benefits averages an additional $12.75 per hour (source: Bureau of Labor Statistics).  

SIMPLER- As a result of the expansion in the size of the standard deduction that was part of the "2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," only 10% of tax filers itemized in 2018, down from 30% in 2017 (source: Tax Foundation).  7
 
 

THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Monday: Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Composite Final. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Index.

Tuesday: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

Wednesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.

Thursday: Jobless Claims.

Source: Econoday, October 2, 2020

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: Paychex Inc. (PAYX), Levi Strauss (LEVI).

Source: Zacks, October 2, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
 
 
THE WEEKLY RIDDLE
 
In 15 minutes, a dress will dry on a clothes wire. How long would it take you to dry five dresses?
 

LAST WEEK'S RIDDLE: A supermarket sign says you can buy energy bars at $12 a dozen. At that price, how much would it cost you to buy 100 energy bars?

ANSWER: $100. At $12 for a dozen, the unit price is $1 per bar.
 



Portfolio Advisory Council, LLC
A Registered Investment Advisory Since 1986
             
Investment advisory services offered through Portfolio Advisory Council, LLC, and an SEC Registered Investment Adviser.
 
We cannot accept trade orders through e-mail. Important letters, e-mail, or fax messages should be confirmed by calling 713.574.6015.  This email service may not be monitored every day, or after normal business hours.  

James W. Hamilton, CFS, AIF
713.574.6025
 
W. Thomas Sutton  CFP(R), ChFC, CLU
713.574.6020
 
Philip B. Moran, MBA, ChFC, CFP(R), AIF
713.574.6030
 
John C. Husbands

Visit us at www.pac1000.com 



This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE") and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions - the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.


CITATIONS:

1. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
2. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
3. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
4. CNBC, September 30, 2020
5. CNBC, October 1, 2020
6. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
7. 
Reproduction Prohibited without Express Permission - Copyright © 2011 Michael A. Higley

CHART CITATIONS:
The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2020
treasury.gov, October 2, 2020