July 15, 2020
U.S.-China Confrontation Rumbles; Alliance Management; China-Iran Axis?; Duda Wins in Poland; Disruptive Forces in Africa; Virus Hits Hard in Latin America; and Global Threats
Quote of the Week
" If it's Goya, it has to be good." 

-- Ivanka Trump, the U.S. president's daughter and adviser, tweeted a photo-message Tuesday to encourage Americans to buy canned beans after Goya Foods CEO praised Donald Trump's leadership. An attempt to counter an emerging boycott of Goya, the tweet sparked a backlash for raising ethical issues since executive branch employees are not allowed to use their public office “for the endorsement of any product."
U.S.-China Confrontation Rumbles
" The U.S.-China Confrontation Is Not Another Cold War. It’s Something New." Richard Fontaine and Ely Ratner -- The Washington Post, July 2, 2020

The Four China Strategies Trump or Biden Will Need to Consider” Joseph Bosco -- The Hill, July 14, 2020 

Hard for U.S.-China Trade to Survive a Shooting War" Urban Lehner -- Asia Times, July 15, 2020 

U.S. Rejects Nearly All Chinese Claims in South China Sea” Matthew Lee and Lolita Baldor -- Associated Press, July 14, 2020 

" Putting China in Its Place: Britain Prepares to Sack Huawei" Nick Witney -- European Council on Foreign Relations, July 14, 2020
Alliance Management
The United States Needs a New Foreign Policy" William Burns -- The Atlantic, July 14, 2020 

The Next Liberal Order” G. John Ikenberry -- Foreign Affairs, July 15, 2020 

" A Way Forward for the United States and Turkey” Nilsu Goren and Dalia Kaye -- Al-Monitor, July 8, 2020 

Thai-U.S. Alliance Comes With New Twists” Kavi Chongkittavorn -- Bangkok Post, July 14, 2020 
China-Iran Axis?
A China-Iran Alliance Against Donald Trump?” Michael Rubin -- The National Interest, July 12, 2020 

How Iran-China Deal Could Alter the Middle East's Balance of Power” Shireen Hunter -- Middle East Eye, July 14, 2020 

Did Iran Suffer a Nuclear Setback?” Ray Takeyh -- Council on Foreign Relations, July 13, 2020 

Iran’s Turn to China” Seth Frantzman -- National Review, July 15, 2020 
Duda Wins in Poland
" Poland’s Narrow Election Has Big Consequences for Its Democratic Future” Ishaan Tharoor -- The Washington Post, July 15, 2020 

4 Takeaways from Duda’s Reelection as Polish President" Zosia Wanat -- Politico, July 13, 2020 

Duda Wins, But Must Now Govern a Divided Poland” Daniel Fried -- Atlantic Council, July 13, 2020 

Poland’s Vote Is a Warning to Americans, Too” Therese Raphael -- Bloomberg, July 13, 2020 
Disruptive Forces in Africa
Libya’s Double Tragedy” Amin Saikal -- Project Syndicate, July 10, 2020 

The Day the Bottom Fell Out of South Africa - A Triple Pandemic Has Hit Us” Ferial Haffajee -- Daily Maverick, July 15, 2020 

The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Trade: Recent Evidence from East Africa" Andrew Mold and Anthony Mveyange -- Brookings, July 9, 2020
Virus Hits Hard in Latin America
Latin American Coronavirus Deaths Overtake North American Fatalities” Javier Leira -- Reuters, July 13, 2020 

In Latin America, the Pandemic Threatens Equality Like Never Before" Julie Turkewitz and Sofía Villamil -- New York Times, July 11, 2020 

Journalists in Mexico Hit a COVID-19 Data Wall” Madeleine Wattenbarger -- Columbia Journalism Review, July 14, 2020 
Global Threats
East Ukraine’s European Roots and the Myths of Putin’s Russian World” Alvydas Medalinskas -- Atlantic Council, July 13, 2020 

" Armenia-Azerbaijan Border Fighting Escalates; 16 Killed" -- Avet Demourian -- Associated Press, July 14, 2020

Why NATO Should Adopt a Tactical Readiness Initiative" Josh Campbell -- War on the Rocks, July 13, 2020

A Second ISIS Wave Is Lurking in the Dark” Faisal Al Yafai -- Asia Times, July 11, 2020 

In Hong Kong’s National Security Law Era, Echoes of Northern Ireland’s Troubles" Rana Mitter -- South China Morning Post, July 11, 2020 

Across Central Asia, Police States Expand Under the Cover of COVID-19" Edward Lemon and Bradley Jardine -- World Politics Review, July 14, 2020 
Tomorrow! Cover to Cover on the Gulf Crisis
Register now for WACA's  Cover to Cover conference call   today, July 16, at 2:00-2:30 PM ET, featuring  Kristian Coates Ulrichsen on his book  Qatar and the Gulf Crisis. Dr. Ulrichsen is a Fellow for the Middle East at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy and an Associate Fellow of Chatham House’s Middle East and North Africa Program.

In 2017, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the UAE, and Egypt severed diplomatic ties with Qatar, launching an economic blockade by land, air, and sea. Well into its second year, the standoff in the Gulf has no realistic end in sight. With the Bahraini and Emirati criminalization of expressing support for Qatar, and the Saudi labelling of detainees as ‘traitors’ for their alleged Qatari links, bitterness has been stoked between deeply interconnected peoples. The adviser to the Saudi crown prince advocating a moat to physically separate Qatar from the Arabian Peninsula illustrates the ongoing intensity of the crisis. Ulrichsen offers an authoritative study of this international standoff, from both sides.