Dear Stuart,
Supply in Metro Vancouver rose 46% in January vs January 2024 as sellers appear eager to enter the market. Demand during the same period increased only 8.8% which is 11.3% below the 10 year seasonal average. These stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside detached home sales in January are down 30.4% compared to last month. The supply of listings was relatively unchanged at 1.1% above last month.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 10% for detached homes, while apartment supply is up 52%, and townhomes are up 78%.
Demand, when compared to the 10-year averages, is down by 37% for detached homes, down 19% for apartments but townhomes are up by 25%.
In January, the westside Detached Home average price was down 23% from the peak in August 2023. The Attached home average price was down 8% from the peak in Apr 2024 and the Apartment average price was down 17% from the peak in January 2018.
We are seeing stable inventory levels and demand has been stable but low compared to the 10 year averages. The market has been expecting the higher interest rates to hurt demand and to drive more sellers into the market and we are now seeing that.
Government policies including zoning encouraging higher density and bylaws compelling owners to rent or sell properties rather than leaving them vacant has resulted in more supply and some price relief for buyers.
On the other hand policies banning foreign buyers has had a hugely chilling effect on resale and development of expensive homes and is discouraging construction and investment in many new projects. Large developments are in planning and permit stages for years and banning the end users for these projects in mid stream is bankrupting some of them.
This ban is also putting a major dent in the sales of properties over $4 million dollars and is a lose lose proposition for taxpayers as our assets are depreciating and we are still not creating affordable housing for our working young professionals including fire, police, teachers, nurses & service industry workers.
Uncertainty is another detriment to demand and last fall the elections and rates dropping caused some buyers to wait and see. Our current whirlwind of economic uncertainty being created by the US president is clouding the waters even further for those buyers.
Unique and well priced homes under $4M are still getting multiple offers and prices over asking and further rate cuts if they come this year should encourage demand and bolster prices but it remains to be seen if the trend has really shifted from rising rates to more affordable homes for buyers.
The listing supply has shown up but now we need buyers to show up in numbers.
February to June is that time and strategic pricing will be key to achieving best results.
Thinking of Selling? Letβs Talk!
π Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Happy Valentine's Day! Hope you have a wonderful day filled with joy and connection
Best regards
Stuart πΉππΉπ
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