Dear Stuart,
Westside detached home sales in October are up 17.5% compared to last month. Listings were down 7% from last month.
Supply, compared to the 10-year average, is up 2% for detached homes, while apartment supply is up 41%, and townhomes are up 66%.
Demand, when compared to the 10-year averages, is down by 26% for detached homes, up 1% for apartments and townhomes are up by 8%.
Buyers are trying to buy and housing supply dropped in October while demand increased. Well priced homes are selling quickly at & over their asking prices while over priced homes are getting offers often 20% below their asking prices. Buyers are still hurting from the high interest rates even after a 1.25% rate drop and many conditional sales still fall apart due to financing.
In October, the westside Detached Home average price is down 25% from the peak in August 2023. The Attached home average price is down 5% from the peak in May 2024 and the Apartment average price is down 15% from the peak in January 2018.
The Bank of Canada is expected to drop the rate another 1/4 point before the year end which should help buyers qualify for more mortgage debt. Each quarter point drop will save a borrower about $150 per month on a $1M mortgage.
The market has been expecting higher inventory levels since the BoC started raising rates and that along with zoning encouraging higher density has resulted in a steady rise in supply of apartments, attached and detached homes.
Demand has just started to rise in response to the recent rate drops and that has resulted in price increases in the apartment and attached segments of the market but prices fell again in October in the detached home market
Further rate cuts if they come later this year should encourage demand but we are also further into the mortgage renewal cycle and many mortgage holders have yet to hit their renewal dates under the higher ratesβ¦.
The market picked up in October but we expect it to slow again in Dec. & January.
We honour the brave men and women in uniform who have dedicated their lives to protecting our freedoms and ensuring our safety. π¨π¦ π
Best regards
Stuart
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