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Greetings!
The total home supply in Metro Vancouver in August is up 17.6% year over year and that is 36.9% above the 10 year seasonal average while sales were up 2.9% over last year and that is down 19.2% below the 10 year seasonal average. Spring 2025 was unusually weak in the real estate market and the summer has seen no significant change in that trend. These Metro Vancouver stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 14% for detached homes, down 17% for apartments and up by 8% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 11% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 36%, and townhomes are up 56%.
We had 52 Westside Detached home sales in August, compared to 61 sales last month.
We had 271 Westside Apartment sales in August, compared to 292 sales last month.
We had 54 Westside Attached home sales in August, compared to 42 sales last month.
In August the westside Detached Home average price was down 28% from the peak in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was down 12% from the peak in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was down 10% from the peak in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SAL) is a key indicator of market balance and it helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SAL for Westside detached is 7.1%, attached is 14% and apartments is 15%.
So demand is down from last month for detached homes, it is down for apartments and is is up for townhomes. Westside prices are down for Detached homes in August but they had a jump up for apartments and the townhomes have been on a slow but steady rise for the last three months. These increased apartment & townhouse prices are due to the steady 14 - 15% SAL putting upward pressure on house prices. The SAL has been steady because the supply is coming down not because the demand is rising. The supply cycle looks typical for this time of the year, it is the demand that we are lacking. An interest rate drop might help turn that around but generally the market feels poorer which is a reflection of our economy. The sense that the market may be cheaper in the future can also discourage buyers from jumping in.
The steady SAL in the apartment and townhouse markets are emerging signs that we may be turning a corner. Supply is still substantial so there are buying opportunities particularly for detached homes and if the market really turns up, buyers will rush in, so now is a good time to buy while we have good supply and little competition.
Here is a summary of an interesting article I read in Western Investor titled "Residential land demand slows as macroeconomic uncertainties continue"
"Summary
Despite government policies aimed at boosting housing supply, Western Canada’s residential land market is struggling, especially in Metro Vancouver. Listings are up, sales are down, and prices have dropped sharply, giving buyers the advantage.
- Metro Vancouver: Land sales have collapsed, with only 59 transactions in the first half of 2025 compared to 294 last year. Many sites, such as those in the Broadway Plan area, face long delays and rezoning challenges. Developers are wary of high holding costs (8–10% annually) and uncertain demand, leading to steep discounts and slow sales. Entitled single-family lots, which can quickly be redeveloped into four- and six-plexes, remain the strongest segment.
- Market Sentiment: Buyers are cautious due to economic uncertainty and lengthy municipal approval processes. Properties that are priced right, zoned properly, and ready to build sell more easily, while raw land requiring rezoning struggles.
- Alberta Comparison: Calgary and Alberta overall are faring better, with stronger job markets and less risk tied to municipal approvals. While high-density sites have lost value, suburban and lower-density parcels are appreciating. Investors from B.C. are shifting interest to Alberta.
- Outlook: The market reset has created opportunities for well-capitalized buyers. Developers focusing on small-scale, entitled projects (e.g., subdividing single-family lots) may find success, while large, rezoning-dependent projects remain stalled."
Sellers need to be the best value in their cohort to attract a buyer so strategic pricing is the key to achieving a sale.
Thinking of Selling? Let’s Talk!
📞 Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Hope you had a start to September despite the smokey skies!
Best regards
Stuart ⛳ 🎾
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