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Here are a few thoughts on the current state of the economy and recent market volatility.
Every time the market takes a hit, the fear-mongering headlines come out in full force. Recession warnings. Bear market predictions. Financial disaster looming. It’s enough to make anyone uneasy. But history has a way of reminding us to stay calm.
Think back:
- The “double dip” recession everyone worried about in the early 2010s? Never happened.
- The big 2011 recession call? Wrong.
- The so-called “Lost Decade” after 2008? Didn’t play out that way.
- The IMF’s 2020 warning of a prolonged global downturn? Many economies bounced back fast.
- The 2022–2024 yield curve inversion was supposed to signal an imminent crash - but growth kept chugging along.
These declines are normal:
- The S&P 500 drops 5% every 3.5 months.
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A 10% drop occurs every 11 months.
When markets pull back, searching for a magic signal, trying to predict the future, and panicking and selling out are all fear responses that will lead you astray and lock in portfolio losses.
Here’s the truth: no one knows the future. And instead of giving into fear, lets follow your plan we put together for the times like these.
If you are feeling anxious about the current sell off, let's talk.
With gratitude,
Marianna
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