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YOUR PLANS ARE BUILT FOR THIS
The sweeping tariffs presented at Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ ceremony on April 2nd have rattled the global economy. The stock market has responded with a pullback.
While the cause of this volatility is unique, the market response is not – and has played out many times in the past. As of Friday’s close, the U.S. stock market experienced its 7th double digit decline start to the year in the past 100 years (S&P 500 down -13.7%). Historically, the other six instances saw strong recoveries, often with double-digit returns from that point onward to the end of the year. While we can't predict the future, history suggests that these downturns can be short-lived, and patience is critical.
Fear is an expected response during uncertain times. For those in or nearing retirement, anxiety can present itself. While market dips are never enjoyable, your financial plans and portfolios are built for times like these. As you all know, your portfolio is a byproduct of your financial plan and we will never recommend you take on more risk than your planning can withstand. To complement the high quality stocks we own within our portfolios, we have been advocates of holding uncorrelated asset classes. This has proven beneficial as we see positive year-to-date numbers in our private mortgage, private debt, and real estate strategies. While we do not know what the coming days will look like, we do know that this period will pass and the markets will eventually form new highs.
Some experienced investors are looking at this time as an opportunity buy into the stock market at a discount. Past dips such as these have created great opportunities to invest in high quality companies at below market prices. While timing the bottom during periods such as these is very difficult, we agree there is an opportunity here for long term investors.
As the tariff story continues to play out the correct response going forward is patience. Financial overreactions during these times often are regretted. We have designed financial plans and intentional portfolios for a reason. This volatility will pass.
If you, your family, or friends have any concerns or questions about the economy and the impact to your long term planning please do not hesitate to reach out. We are readily available to connect and be a sounding board as needed.
Sincerely,
The Ivory Planning Group Team
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