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Wednesday evening, the House successfully passed a debt ceiling increase in a 314-117 vote. While the margin for passage was quite high, the end results relied heavily on the political center and “moderates” from both parties. More Democrats actually voted for it than Republicans (165 vs. 149)—with 71 Republicans and 46 Democrats voting against it. The Freedom Caucus, a collection of more conservative House members, lambasted the deal since its release several days beforehand, and nearly successfully stopped the bill during one of its earlier procedural votes. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries gave the go-ahead to House Dems to change their votes after their initial casts in order to help keep the legislation on track.
The bill includes a debt increase up through January 2025. It also imposes new work requirements for older Americans on food assistance programs, claws back certain unspent COVID-19 pandemic support funds, slightly increases defense spending, and freezes existing spending elsewhere for the next two years. It also will end the student loan repayment freeze and expedite certain energy and conservation projects by speeding up mandatory National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) reviews (in certain cases). The CBO estimated it would cut federal spending by around $1.5 trillion over the next decade.
The legislation now heads to the Senate, where it is not guaranteed to pass smoothly. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has reiterated that he does not want to try to do a final vote last-minute—and also wants to avoid any significant amendments to the legislation, which would force a conference committee and delay it even further. It remains to be seen whether certain Senators will ignore this though and try to add more procedural hurdles by forcing controversial amendment votes.
The deadline for being signed by the president is now expected to be June 4th (Sunday), but most Senators would be happy to see it completed by tomorrow. Provided Congress manages to do just that—one additional story worth monitoring will be any potential shakeup with Republican leadership in the House. Complaints against Speaker McCarthy’s handling of the debt deal have resulted in several GOP critics suggesting he broke commitments made earlier this year in order to secure the Speakership. Some have gone as far as to say this is enough to call for what would effectively be a ‘vote of confidence.’ We will continue to update members as both stories develop.
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