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Where valuation sits today
As of today, Trident is trading at approximately $2.60 per share. Following the completion of the recently announced financing, the Company is expected to have about 37.5 million shares outstanding, implying a market capitalization of approximately $100 million.
After accounting for cash and marketable securities on hand, this equates to an estimated enterprise value of roughly $65 million.
With approximately 2.0 million ounces of gold resources currently defined, this corresponds to an enterprise value of about $33 per ounce of gold.
Importantly, this valuation reflects only the non Contact Lake ounces and does not include any value for the Contact Lake asset, resulting in a meaningful discount relative to peers that often trade well above $65 per ounce.
Within the junior gold sector, companies of similar scale with advancing projects and fully funded exploration programs typically command higher valuations, particularly when operating in stable and well supported jurisdictions.
At present, the market appears to be valuing primarily the existing defined ounces, while assigning limited recognition to future resource growth or the high grade underground potential at Contact Lake, which sits outside the current resource base.
For context, Cameco’s $65 million capital investment to develop Contact Lake in the early 1990s would translate to approximately $125 million today on an inflation adjusted basis. The market seems to be assigning no value to this underground infrastructure either, which alone would equate to roughly $3.33 per share, exceeding the Company’s current market capitalization.
Viewed from any angle, this highlights a material disconnect between Trident’s asset base and its current valuation.
The figures presented above are provided for illustrative purposes only and are not intended as financial analysis or investment advice. Investors are encouraged to conduct their own independent due diligence.
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