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Is 6.5% The Magic Number?
Rates continue to move in the right direction and are now at their lowest levels so far this year, trending toward 6.5% on a 30-year fixed. We all know inventory is extremely low, especially if you've been reading my charts. But there's something crucial to note: the last time rates went below 6.5%, in August and September 2024, there was an unexpected surge in inventory! That only ended when the Feds cut their rates, then mortgages shot back above 7%, leading to a miserable December for real estate sales.
So, is this a good sign for a very active spring market with more new listings and pending sales? It appears that way to me. Let's hope this inventory issue finally breaks in our area.
Here are the latest rates for a 30-year Fixed for March 6, 2025:
- Zillow Mortgage API: 6.58%
- The Mortgage Research Center: 6.67%
- Bankrate: 6.66%
- Freddie Mac: 6.63%
- Investopedia (via Zillow Mortgage API): 6.58%
The "Market Data By County" Chart:
I have a lot to say about the Northern NJ county chart above, so I wrote about it here.
If you have any questions about the market in your area, feel free to reply to this email or call me.
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