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Market Update: Enduring the Parade of Nonsense
If I told you back in February or March that the S&P 500 would be down 0.76% for the month of April, you’d have yawned. But wow! The 30 day road to “down a little” was anything but a snoozer. The month in markets brought us a stark reminder that investing is not always smooth sailing, with historic volatility driven by tariff concerns, inflation worries, and mixed corporate earnings.
What a wild ride it was! We witnessed the S&P 500 index plunge roughly 12% following President Trump's tariff announcements, only to bounce back 9.5% later in the month. The most dramatic trading day came on April 7th, when the S&P 500 dropped 4.7% in early trading before surging 3.4% higher by mid-morning – a swing of more than 8% in a matter of hours.
You can call yourself a long-term investor, but you still have to commit to the gut check of the moment. April's extreme market volatility contained quite a few of those moments – a test of whether our carefully crafted plans can withstand the emotional strain of fear and uncertainty.
I recently finished Morgan Housel's "Same as Ever," the follow-up to "The Psychology of Money." While I didn't enjoy it quite as much as his first book, Housel offers a powerful insight that feels particularly relevant right now. He writes: "So rather than assuming long-term thinkers don't have to deal with short-term nonsense, ask the question, 'How can I endure a never-ending parade of nonsense?'"
As we navigate this ongoing “parade of nonsense," remember that market volatility, while uncomfortable, is a normal and expected part of investing. You can't Rip Van Winkle yourself through the volatility and wake up with a successful, fully matured long term plan. You have to experience the anxiety of the present moment. However, history has shown that patient investors who stay the course are rewarded over time.
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