LCNP Senior Analyst, John Burroughs was one of three panelists for this event hosted by the NGO Committee on Disarmament, Peace and Security. The conversation centered around an alarming upcoming US Congressional budget item: hundreds of billions of dollars devoted to building new nuclear weapons. Below is an excerpt from John Burroughs' remarks:
The picture for all nine nuclear-armed states is grim. Today we are talking about one nuclear-armed state, the United States, which has long served as a pacesetter.
The United States is planning to replace and upgrade essentially its entire nuclear arsenal, delivery systems and warheads.
From the Trump years, already a low-yield warhead has been deployed on submarine-launched missiles. And a submarine-launched cruise-missile is in development, which would replace a capability discontinued during the Obama years. Hopefully the Biden administration will withdraw the low-yield
warheads and end development of the submarine-launched cruise missiles, but those decisions have yet to be made.
Over the next three decades, the replacement program will cost on the order of $2 trillion dollars including maintenance of existing and replaced forces. The US currently spends more than $30 billion annually on its delivery systems
and warheads, with another roughly $20 billion spent on environmental management, health costs, and military and intelligence functions related
to its nuclear forces.
This program is contrary to US obligations under NPT Article VI, which requires good faith negotiations on nuclear disarmament. 2020 was the
50th anniversary of the NPT; 50 years was certainly a sufficient period for fulfillment of this obligation if pursued in good faith.
Yet the US is planning for at least several more decades of reliance on nuclear arms; time horizons reach into the second half of this century. Moreover, Article VI requires negotiations on cessation of the nuclear arms race at an early date. In certain respects, US plans definitely qualify as nuclear arms racing,
notably with respect to the planned air-launched cruise missile.
The legal obligation to disarm is not the only relevant legal element. The US is bound, and recognizes it is bound, by the law of armed conflict, international humanitarian law. In short, nuclear arms cannot be used in compliance with that law, or with human rights law. That means the US is relying for the indefinite future upon weapons that must not be used from a
legal standpoint or any standpoint.
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Read John's full remarks here and panelist
Jacqueline Cabasso's remarks here.