Market Moment
Glen Eagle®: America’s Women-Owned Trading Desk®  
03/28/2022
  • As of last week the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index had fallen 11% from its high in January. That is the largest decline from a high point on record and it surpasses the 10.8% drop that occurred in 2008 during the financial crises. This creates a difficult situation for investors that have historically looked at bonds as a safe asset class within their portfolio.
  • One common narrative is that when interest rates rise, stocks do worse. Data that goes back to the 1970s, however, shows that the Fed has raised rates a quarter point or less 55 times and raised rates a quarter to half point 15 times, with an average S&P500 return one year later of 7.41% and 8.34%, respectively. 
  • Many investors have flocked to dividend paying stocks to replace bonds, which have unperformed and provided low-yields over the last few years. Yet, high-dividend paying stocks can provide little protection in a market downturn. Take the 2007-2009 financial crisis when Vanguard’s High Dividend Yield ETF fell -51.7%, which was worse than the S&P500.
  • From 2010 to 2021 the cost of solar-generated energy dropped from $381 to $45 per megawatt-hour while wind-generated energy dropped from $89 to $48 per megawatt-hour. This is one reason why wind and solar accounted for 10.4% of all global power compared to just 5.2% in 2010. This growth is starting to slow, currently, as inflation and supply chain bottlenecks persist.  
 
Bloomberg – This is Now The Worst Drawdown on Record for Global Fixed Income
Barrons – It’s Been Two Decades Since the Fed Has Raised Rates Like This. What It Means for the Stock Market
Barrons – Dividend Stocks Don’t Yield Ballast for Your Portfolio. That’s Why You Need Bonds.
WSJ – Ukraine War Drives Up Cost of Wind, Solar Power
 



Economic Calendar

Monday: Trade in goods, advance report (Feb)
Tuesday: Case-Shiller national house price index Y/Y (Jan), FHFA national house price index Y/Y (Jan),
Consumer confidence index (Mar), Job Openings (Feb), QUits (Feb),
Wednesday: ADP employment report (Mar),
GDP revision Q4, Gross domestic income Q4, Corporate profits Y/Y,
Thursday: Nominal personal income (Feb), Nominal consumer spending (Feb), PCE price index (Feb), Core PCE price index (Feb), PCE price index Y/Y (Feb),
Core PCE price index Y/Y (Feb), Real disposable income (Feb), Real consumer spending (Feb), Chicago PMI (Mar)
Friday: Non-farm payrolls (Mar), Unemployment rate (Mar), Hourly earnings (Mar), Labor force participation rate 25-54 (Mar), Markit manufacturing PMI (Mar), ISM manufacturing index (Mar), Construction spending (Feb), Motor vehicle sales (Mar)
US Futures*
S&P 4531.25 -0.12%
DOW 34,517 +0.03%
NASDAQ 14,703.50 -0.35%

World Markets*
FTSE 7514.30
+0.42%
NIKKEI 27,943.89
-0.73%
HANG SENG 21,684.97
+1.31%

*values as of 5:50 AM EST 03/28/2022
Treasuries*
3 Mo 0.579%
10YR 2.51%
30 YR 2.60%

Currencies*
Euro $1.10985
Pound $1.3138
Yen $124.134

Commodities*
Gold 1928
-1.34%
WTI Crude 109.27 -4.06%
Silver 25.22
-1.56%


Upcoming Earnings Calls

Monday - TPG, XPEV, PLAY, JEF
Tuesday - MKC, DTC, LULU, MU, CHWY, RH
Wednesday - FIVE, PAYX
Thursday- WBA, BB
Friday - No notable


Client Focused Trading® for large institutions, pensions, hedge funds, wealthy families, and private equity for over 30 years.

Glen Eagle Wealth, LLC is a member FINRA and SIPC
This desk commentary is for informational purposes only


Ansie Monaghan
Carol Ann Fernandez

Glen EagleWealth, LLC
4422C Route 27
PO Box 399
Kingston, NJ 08528
(609) 631-8231

Glen Eagle Wealth | www.gleneagleadv.com