Market Moment
Glen Eagle®: America’s Women-Owned Trading Desk®
11/22/2021
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- Back in the late 1990s there were over 7,000 publicly traded companies, but that number declined over the last few decades to less than 4,000. This trend has been disrupted in 2021, thanks in part to the popularity of SPACs, with more than 900 new companies going public and raising close to $300 billion.
- A recent Janus Henderson survey shows that US companies increased their dividends by 10% in the third quarter. This large increase was led by financial companies, which have benefited from a decrease in payout restrictions from the Federal Reserve. Equally impressive to the payout increase was the fact that 97% of the largest US companies had raised or maintained dividends during the quarter.
- Despite high valuations, stocks may continue to outperform, given that bonds look extremely unattractive. Consider the following points: 1) Inflation has destroyed the appeal of bond yields (the real-yield of treasury inflation-protected securities is currently -1.17%) 2) dividends and capital gains from stocks are taxed less heavily than interest income from bonds and 3) looking back to 1926, when the 10-year treasury yield is less than 3%, as it is now, stocks have averaged a real return of 13.7% while bonds returned 0%.
- Semiconductor stocks continue to benefit from multiple narratives. For example, the current “global chip shortage” narrative implies higher profits as a result of the supply scarcity while the “long-term economic rebound” narrative implies there will be more demand from clients like auto makers and data centers in the future. Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Advanced Micro Devices are all up over 33% this past month compared to just 3.9% for the S&P500.
WSJ – IPOs Keep Jumping Higher. How Long Will the Ride Last?
Barrons – More Good News for Dividend Investors as Global Payouts Move Higher
Barrons – Why Bonds Look Like a Bad Bet
WSJ – Semiconductor Stocks Soar as Chip Shortage Persists
Economic Calendar
Monday: Chicago Fed national activity index (Oct), Existing home sales (Oct)
Tuesday: Markit manufacturing PMI (Nov), Markit services PMI (Nov)
Wednesday: GDP revision Q3, Gross domestic income Q3, Durable goods orders (Oct), Core capital goods orders (Oct), Trade in goods deficit (Oct), Personal income (Oct),Real disposable income (Oct), Consumer spending (Oct), Real consumer spending (Oct), Core inflation (Oct), New home sale (Oct), UMich consumer sentiment index (Nov), 5-year inflation expectations (Nov), FOMC minutes
Thursday: Thanksgiving - None scheduled
Friday: None scheduled
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US Futures
S&P 4711.00 +0.35%
DOW 35,683 +0.38%
NASDAQ 16,635.75 +0.37%
World Markets
FTSE 7249.07
+0.35%
NIKKEI 29,774.11 +0.09%
HANG SENG 24,951.34
-0.39%
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Treasuries
3 Mo 0.053%
10YR 1.586%
30 YR 1.95%
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Currencies
Euro $1.1285
Pound $1.3438
Yen $114.176
Commodities
Gold 1842.50
-0.49%
WTI Crude 76.30 +0.47%
Silver 24.83
+0.22%
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Upcoming Earnings Calls
Monday -A, ZM
Tuesday - DKS, BBY, BURL, AEO, DLTR, DELL, JWN, ADSK, HPQ, VMW, GPS
Wednesday - DE
Thursday- No notable
Friday - No notable
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Client Focused Trading® for large institutions, pensions, hedge funds, wealthy families, and private equity for over 30 years.
Glen Eagle Wealth, LLC is a member FINRA and SIPC
This desk commentary is for informational purposes only
Ansie Monaghan
Carol Ann Fernandez
Glen EagleWealth, LLC
4422C Route 27
PO Box 399
Kingston, NJ 08528
(609) 631-8231
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