September 27, 2024

 


Good Friday morning!



Another new all time high in the S&P confirms that the current trend is still intact and buyers are rotating from one sector to another chasing the hot stocks and groups. It's not all about large cap tech and the FANGMANN stocks anymore like it used to be. And when you have this kind of rotation and continuous buying, it will be hard for the markets to make any significant liquidation break and actually hold lower. Even yesterday was a perfect example.


After a large gap higher and overnight inventory 100% net long, there was a significant sell off and fade lower where key levels were taken out to the downside and lower targets were hit. HOWEVER, buyers came back in and we closed well off of the lows of the day. A more bearish market will hold those lows or at least be much closer when the final bell rings.


Futures are higher again this morning, however, we are still inside of prior days range. The key breakout level is listed in the profile pic and as long as price stays above 5798 then bulls are in control. Price action above the POC (Point of Control) 5802.50 and value area high 5808 indicates an even a more bullish posture from market participants. Only a loss of 5789 then 5780 would change the current tone.




VPOC Update: No new VPOC's were added yesterday and we still 23 below current prices.





TARGETS AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:




/ES upside target is: 5825 - 5830



Key Levels: 5808 Value area High @ 580250 POC



downside target is: 5790 - 5780




/NQ upside target is: 20,475 - 20,495


Key Level: 20,340 POC


downside target is : 20,240 - 20,210




/RTY upside target is: 2250 - 2255



downside target is: 2215 - 2210




Economic Data:



International Trade in Goods (Advance) @8:30 AM ET


Personal Income and Outlays @8:30 AM ET


Retail Inventories (Advance) @8:30 AM ET


Wholesale Inventories (Advance) @8:30 AM ET


Consumer Sentiment @10:00 AM ET


Baker Hughes Rig Count @1:00 PM ET


Michelle Bowman Speaks @1:15 PM ET


Farm Prices @3:00 PM ET





More Color....... By Analyst Rich Rickus



  •   /ES -  Demand at $5725-38 with Supply above at $5805 -5800


Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $5805 and holding below after a pullback below $5800 looking to play SHORT targeting $5770 then $5765 


 Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $ $5754 after a break and retest above playing LONG targeting $5780 then $5795 





  • SPY -    Demand at $569-568 then at w / Supply at $571-572 



Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $568 after a break and retest from $569 looking to play LONG targeting $570 then $571



Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $568 after a retest below $567 targeting $565 then $564





  • /NQ - Key Demand at $20175-20180 with Supply at $20330 



Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $20330 looking to play long targeting $20366 then $20400



Bearish

 Buyers trapped below $20270 and holding , looking to play short targeting $20211 then $20170






  • QQQ  - Key Demand at $483 - 485 with Supply above at $490-491 



Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $483 looking to play long from a break and retest at $484 targeting $485 then $486 



Bearish

 

Buyers trapped below $491 after a break and retest below $490 looking to play short targeting $488 then $486





Have a great day and have fun this weekend!






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