Nest Building
Home inventory is building as we pass the mid-point of the selling season, a welcome sight for buyers! With 447 single-family homes for sale in Deschutes County this morning and several recent price reductions, it would be easy to conclude the market is softening. Although, closer inspection shows continued strong buyer demand and extremely modest price reductions. There are segments of the market still seeing multiple offers, but prices have plateaued for most neighborhoods. The inventory of homes for sale still falls below levels from just a few years ago, and mortgage interest rates below 3% keep sales strong. 

Inflation in the lumber used in home building decreased for the eighth week in a row as mills pick up pandemic stunted production from last year. So while gas and food prices may continue to rise, it looks like we may have seen the peak for lumber prices. Of course, builders slowing production because of material costs account for some of the lumber price decreases, but hopefully, that doesn't turn into a further shortage of available homes. 
Some are watching the housing market expecting a correction or crash to bring prices back to pre-pandemic levels. While I do not anticipate that happening anytime soon, one thing that could change the market is rising mortgage interest rates. If mortgage rates climbed to 4%, housing prices would decline, and inventory would build. But, what is the likelihood of that happening? While a rate increase is likely at some point, the chances of a full percent are low. As the government prints more money, prices increase, and the baseline goes up. Last year the prices of homes throughout Central Oregon stepped up, and excepting specific market segments, there is no sign of retreat. While every situation is unique, waiting to buy in Central Oregon will most likely equate to a more expensive purchase down the road.
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Stellar Realty NW
Reed Melton
(541) 408-6625
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