Market Moment
Glen Eagle®: America’s Women-Owned Trading Desk®  
7/18/2022
  • Economists expect the Federal Reserve in its efforts to push down inflation, to raise rates enough to trigger a recession. Economists now put the chance of a recession sometime in the next 12 months at 49% in July, up from just 18% at the beginning of 2022.
  • There have been 14 bear markets since World War II, including the one we are experiencing today. It took 14 months on average for stocks to get back to break-even after mild bear markets, but up to five years to get back to break even after the deepest bear markets.
  • While the average weekly earnings for American’s have risen by 4.2% over the past year, they have really fallen by a shocking 4.4% when adjusted for inflation. 
  • The dollar gained 6.8% from the end of May through mid-July, which is its largest increase since 2015. This has change has been especially painful for semiconductor stocks, such as Nvidia, Intel, and Qualcomm which get more than 50% of their sales from overseas. 


WSJ- "As Fed Tightens Economists Worry It Will Go Too Far"
Barrons – “Bear Market Have You Down? Here Are 3 Tips for Managing Anxiety During Tumult"
WSJ – “Inflation Has Outpaced Wage Growth. Now It's Cutting Into Spending”
Barrons – “A Strong US Dollar Raises Risks for Everyone"



Economic Calendar

Monday: NAHB home builders' index (Jul)
Tuesday: Building permits (SAAR) (Jun), Housing starts (SAAR) (Jun)
Wednesday:
Existing home sales (SAAR) (Jun)
Thursday:
Initial jobless claims (Jul), Continuing jobless claims (Jul), Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index (Jul), Leading economic indicators (Jun)
Friday: S&P Global U.S. manufacturing PMI (flash) (Jul), S&P Global U.S. services PMI (flash) (Jul)
US Futures*
S&P 3,894.75 +0.77%
DOW 31,517 +0.86%
NASDAQ 12,116.75 +0.91%

World Markets*
FTSE 7,229.37
+0.98%
NIKKEI 26,788.47 +0.54%
HANG SENG 20,846.18
+2.70%

*values as of 8:00 AM EST 07/18/2022
Treasuries*
2 YR 3.168%
10YR 2.980%
30 YR 3.138%


Cryptocurrencies*
BTC-USD
22,211.64 +4.66%
ETH.CM
1,482.26 +10.09%
^CMC200
400.41 +11.45%


Currencies*
Euro $1.0143
Pound $1.1986
Yen $138.2770


Commodities*
Gold 1,713.80
+0.60%
WTI Crude 101.33 +3.83%
Silver 18.83
+1.30%


Upcoming Earnings Calls

Monday - BAC, IBM, SCHW, GS, SYF
Tuesday - ELS, PLD, FBK, SFBS, MRTN
Wednesday - AMNB, AMTB, ABT, AA, UAL
Thursday- SRCE, AIR, ALK, AUB, WAL
Friday - ALV, ACU, AXP, FBP, CLF


Client Focused Trading® for large institutions, pensions, hedge funds, wealthy families, and private equity for over 30 years.

Glen Eagle Wealth, LLC is a member FINRA and SIPC
This desk commentary is for informational purposes only



Carol Ann Fernandez
Rob Michel
Grier Vacek

Glen EagleWealth, LLC
4422C Route 27
PO Box 399
Kingston, NJ 08528
(609) 631-8231

Glen Eagle Wealth | www.gleneagleadv.com