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PDF | Research | Week of May 13 2024

Quote of the Week

“Any weakness or pullback that we see, it’s just in relationship to what inflation is doing and what the Fed reaction function is.”

– Dan Close, Head of Municipals, Nuveen.

 
 

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Fourth of a Series)

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Last of a Series)

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We’ve spent the last six weeks outlining best practices top direct lenders employ so portfolios generate the highest returns complemented by the lowest risk. Nevertheless, stuff happens. In fact, we count on stuff happening. You need to be prepared to deal with those eventualities.


In a recent conversation, our head of workout, Brent Chase offered his secrets for successfully managing troubled portfolio financings. “First, you have to remain proactive as a lender. Advocate the direction you want to go to other capital providers, owners and management. Otherwise, you’ll be reacting to the strategy and direction of others, which can result in sub-optimal outcomes.


“Also, workouts require hands-on monitoring. Cash flows are more “fragile.” A relatively minor performance miss can have significantly negative liquidity implications. Spotting deviations early and communicating closely with the borrower allows time to deal with issues like cash shortfalls quickly. In our case, LP investments in numerous sponsor funds allows us to engage in more meaningfully direct and active dialogue with sponsors in tough scenarios.”...

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Private Capital Call Podcast



Episode 6: Jack Ablin, Cresset Capital.

Private credit is a great hedge against the higher-for-longer scenario. - Jack Ablin

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Chart of the Week

Reorg, Don’t Liquidate

Since the Fed’s rate hike regime began, more bankruptcies are reorganizations.

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Source: Torsten Slok – Apollo, The Daily Shot


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Ryan Brown / PitchBook LCD

PDI Picks

Europe’s hot topics

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This week, we reflect on a few of the talking points from PDI’s recent Europe Summit 2024 in London.

Are favoured sectors still good value?

One panellist said the gradual retreat of covid brought with it the end of the honeymoon period for technology and life sciences, two sectors that had previously exploded in popularity among private debt lenders...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

Global SLL issuance is down 5% year over year

at less than US$190bn

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Having reached a high of over US$617bn globally in 2021, sustainable loan issuance has tapered off in the last two years...

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Contact: Maria Dikeos / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

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PE healthcare services investing continued to stagnate in Q1 2024. PE sponsors announced or closed an estimated 158 deals in the quarter, a downward trend even from 2023’s sluggish pace...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Privately Monitored Middle Market Portfolio Overview, 1Q24

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In the charts above, Fitch presents aggregate data for MM companies, defined as in the area of $500 million of debt or $100 million of EBITDA or below, that it privately rates for asset managers...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Accordion Inside Maturity

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

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The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 10.5% as of 10 May, down from the highest level in last 12 months of 12.1% in May 2023) that tracks the overall performance of publicly traded business development companies (BDCs, lenders to privately held middle-market businesses that tend to be below investment grade or not rated, with most lending comprising of senior secured loans)...

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Contact: Suneet Chandvani / Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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Direct lending dominates first quarter fundraising

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Demand for direct lending strategies has increased consistently over the past 15 years, as private credit has evolved from niche products such as mezzanine and distressed debt to a mainstream source of finance for deals and companies...

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Contact: William Bennett-Lynch / Preqin

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.